**Trader consensus at 100% for a 30°C daily maximum in Manila on August 30 reflects consistent forecast guidance from models and agencies showing peak temperatures capped near this level amid the southwest monsoon.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and widespread thunderstorms suppress surface heating, with official projections indicating highs of 28-30°C (roughly 82-86°F) under fresh southwesterly winds. This aligns with Manila’s August climatology of mean highs around 30-31°C, where rain-cooled air masses and limited insolation make excursions above 30°C unlikely on this date. Minor shifts in storm timing or localized clearing could allow brief spikes, but the weight of current observational trends and model agreement supports the market’s near-certainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Manila il 30 agosto?
30°C 100.0%
24°C o inferiore <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$28,987 Vol.
$28,987 Vol.
30 ago 2026
24°C o inferiore
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C o superiore
<1%
30°C 100.0%
24°C o inferiore <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$28,987 Vol.
$28,987 Vol.
30 ago 2026
24°C o inferiore
$161 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$401 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$339 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,410 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6,205 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$6,593 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$7,359 Vol.
100%
31°C
$4,104 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,228 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$163 Vol.
<1%
34°C o superiore
$1,027 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 30°C daily maximum in Manila on August 30 reflects consistent forecast guidance from models and agencies showing peak temperatures capped near this level amid the southwest monsoon.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and widespread thunderstorms suppress surface heating, with official projections indicating highs of 28-30°C (roughly 82-86°F) under fresh southwesterly winds. This aligns with Manila’s August climatology of mean highs around 30-31°C, where rain-cooled air masses and limited insolation make excursions above 30°C unlikely on this date. Minor shifts in storm timing or localized clearing could allow brief spikes, but the weight of current observational trends and model agreement supports the market’s near-certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$28,987Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 30°C daily maximum in Manila on August 30 reflects consistent forecast guidance from models and agencies showing peak temperatures capped near this level amid the southwest monsoon.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and widespread thunderstorms suppress surface heating, with official projections indicating highs of 28-30°C (roughly 82-86°F) under fresh southwesterly winds. This aligns with Manila’s August climatology of mean highs around 30-31°C, where rain-cooled air masses and limited insolation make excursions above 30°C unlikely on this date. Minor shifts in storm timing or localized clearing could allow brief spikes, but the weight of current observational trends and model agreement supports the market’s near-certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,987Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 100% for a 30°C daily maximum in Manila on August 30 reflects consistent forecast guidance from models and agencies showing peak temperatures capped near this level amid the southwest monsoon.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and widespread thunderstorms suppress surface heating, with official projections indicating highs of 28-30°C (roughly 82-86°F) under fresh southwesterly winds. This aligns with Manila’s August climatology of mean highs around 30-31°C, where rain-cooled air masses and limited insolation make excursions above 30°C unlikely on this date. Minor shifts in storm timing or localized clearing could allow brief spikes, but the weight of current observational trends and model agreement supports the market’s near-certainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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