Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover from frequent showers are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Manila, with official PAGASA guidance and multiple models pointing to a daily minimum near 24–27 °C on 31 August. High humidity (80–90 %), moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds, and ongoing thunderstorm activity suppress the typical nocturnal temperature drop, while the region’s climatological August baseline minimum hovers around 24 °C. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of heaviest rain creates the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the 24–27 °C range, with lower odds attached to outcomes outside this narrow band. Updated PAGASA bulletins and late-evening observations will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Manila il 31 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Manila il 31 agosto?
29°C 45%
26°C 28%
27°C 28%
25°C 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
25%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
28%
27°C
28%
28°C
25%
29°C
45%
30°C
4%
31°C o superiore
1%
29°C 45%
26°C 28%
27°C 28%
25°C 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
21°C or below
$125 Vol.
2%
22°C
$252 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
28%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$140 Vol.
45%
30°C
$125 Vol.
4%
31°C o superiore
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover from frequent showers are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Manila, with official PAGASA guidance and multiple models pointing to a daily minimum near 24–27 °C on 31 August. High humidity (80–90 %), moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds, and ongoing thunderstorm activity suppress the typical nocturnal temperature drop, while the region’s climatological August baseline minimum hovers around 24 °C. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of heaviest rain creates the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the 24–27 °C range, with lower odds attached to outcomes outside this narrow band. Updated PAGASA bulletins and late-evening observations will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$647Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover from frequent showers are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Manila, with official PAGASA guidance and multiple models pointing to a daily minimum near 24–27 °C on 31 August. High humidity (80–90 %), moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds, and ongoing thunderstorm activity suppress the typical nocturnal temperature drop, while the region’s climatological August baseline minimum hovers around 24 °C. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of heaviest rain creates the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the 24–27 °C range, with lower odds attached to outcomes outside this narrow band. Updated PAGASA bulletins and late-evening observations will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$647Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon flow and widespread cloud cover from frequent showers are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Manila, with official PAGASA guidance and multiple models pointing to a daily minimum near 24–27 °C on 31 August. High humidity (80–90 %), moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds, and ongoing thunderstorm activity suppress the typical nocturnal temperature drop, while the region’s climatological August baseline minimum hovers around 24 °C. Model spread in boundary-layer moisture and exact timing of heaviest rain creates the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the 24–27 °C range, with lower odds attached to outcomes outside this narrow band. Updated PAGASA bulletins and late-evening observations will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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