Recent meteorological forecasts for Beijing on September 1 project a daily maximum near 29–30°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. This positioning reflects typical early autumn conditions under high pressure, featuring clear to mostly sunny skies, light northerly or variable winds, and moderate humidity that supports standard daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Historical climatology shows an average September 1 high of approximately 28.9°C, with recent late-August observations around 30–32°C providing a warm baseline. Model consensus across sources indicates limited variability, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Pechino il 1° settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Pechino il 1° settembre?
30°C 40%
29°C 29%
31°C 16%
28°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
12%
29°C
29%
30°C
40%
31°C
16%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 40%
29°C 29%
31°C 16%
28°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$38 Vol.
6%
28°C
$38 Vol.
12%
29°C
$35 Vol.
29%
30°C
$45 Vol.
40%
31°C
$31 Vol.
16%
32°C
$8 Vol.
4%
33°C
$0 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$16 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Beijing on September 1 project a daily maximum near 29–30°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. This positioning reflects typical early autumn conditions under high pressure, featuring clear to mostly sunny skies, light northerly or variable winds, and moderate humidity that supports standard daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Historical climatology shows an average September 1 high of approximately 28.9°C, with recent late-August observations around 30–32°C providing a warm baseline. Model consensus across sources indicates limited variability, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$212Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Beijing on September 1 project a daily maximum near 29–30°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. This positioning reflects typical early autumn conditions under high pressure, featuring clear to mostly sunny skies, light northerly or variable winds, and moderate humidity that supports standard daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Historical climatology shows an average September 1 high of approximately 28.9°C, with recent late-August observations around 30–32°C providing a warm baseline. Model consensus across sources indicates limited variability, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$212Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Beijing on September 1 project a daily maximum near 29–30°C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. This positioning reflects typical early autumn conditions under high pressure, featuring clear to mostly sunny skies, light northerly or variable winds, and moderate humidity that supports standard daytime heating without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Historical climatology shows an average September 1 high of approximately 28.9°C, with recent late-August observations around 30–32°C providing a warm baseline. Model consensus across sources indicates limited variability, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind could adjust the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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