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icon for La temperatura più bassa di Los Angeles il 25 agosto?

La temperatura più bassa di Los Angeles il 25 agosto?

icon for La temperatura più bassa di Los Angeles il 25 agosto?

La temperatura più bassa di Los Angeles il 25 agosto?

ago 23

ago 24

ago 25

ago 23

ago 24

ago 25

63°F o inferiore 93%

82°F o superiore 91%

64-65°F 49%

80-81°F 49%

Polymarket
NUOVO

63°F o inferiore 93%

82°F o superiore 91%

64-65°F 49%

80-81°F 49%

Polymarket
NUOVO

63°F o inferiore

$5 Vol.

93%

64-65°F

$5 Vol.

49%

66-67°F

$0 Vol.

25%

68-69°F

$0 Vol.

25%

70-71°F

$0 Vol.

26%

72-73°F

$0 Vol.

26%

74-75°F

$0 Vol.

25%

76-77°F

$0 Vol.

25%

78-79°F

$5 Vol.

2%

80-81°F

$5 Vol.

49%

82°F o superiore

$5 Vol.

91%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Los Angeles minimum temperatures on August 25 centers on the depth and persistence of the marine layer versus potential offshore flow or reduced cloud cover. Official National Weather Service guidance highlights variable onshore winds and inversion strength that could deliver cooler marine air, supporting the near-even market split between sub-63°F readings and 82°F-plus outcomes. Model consensus shows modest disagreements on boundary-layer mixing and radiative cooling overnight, with historical August climatology placing typical lows near 65°F. Upcoming evening forecast updates from NOAA will likely refine these thresholds as new observational data arrives.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25
Data di fine
25 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Los Angeles minimum temperatures on August 25 centers on the depth and persistence of the marine layer versus potential offshore flow or reduced cloud cover. Official National Weather Service guidance highlights variable onshore winds and inversion strength that could deliver cooler marine air, supporting the near-even market split between sub-63°F readings and 82°F-plus outcomes. Model consensus shows modest disagreements on boundary-layer mixing and radiative cooling overnight, with historical August climatology placing typical lows near 65°F. Upcoming evening forecast updates from NOAA will likely refine these thresholds as new observational data arrives.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25
Data di fine
25 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Correlati

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La temperatura minima a Los Angeles sarà compresa tra 68-69°F il 24 agosto?

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icon for La temperatura minima a Los Angeles sarà tra 70-71°F il 23 agosto?

La temperatura minima a Los Angeles sarà tra 70-71°F il 23 agosto?

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icon for La temperatura massima a Los Angeles sarà compresa tra 82-83°F il 25 agosto?

La temperatura massima a Los Angeles sarà compresa tra 82-83°F il 25 agosto?

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Domande frequenti

"La temperatura più bassa di Los Angeles il 25 agosto?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 11 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "63°F o inferiore" a 47%, seguito da "82°F o superiore" a 46%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 47¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 47% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"La temperatura più bassa di Los Angeles il 25 agosto?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 23, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "La temperatura più bassa di Los Angeles il 25 agosto?", esplora i 11 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "La temperatura più bassa di Los Angeles il 25 agosto?" è "63°F o inferiore" a 47%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 47% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "82°F o superiore" a 46%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "La temperatura più bassa di Los Angeles il 25 agosto?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.