Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 76°F for Chicago on August 23 under mostly sunny skies with light northwest winds, positioning the 76-77°F range as the dominant outcome. Lake Michigan's moderating influence, combined with a cooler-than-normal air mass and limited afternoon heating, has suppressed temperatures below the 82°F climatological average. Scattered high clouds and stable atmospheric conditions further limit convective warming, keeping the market-implied probability concentrated on 74-77°F bands. Updated model runs show minimal upside risk for 78°F or higher, while downside scenarios remain constrained by daytime insolation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Chicago il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Chicago il 23 agosto?
76-77°F 48%
74-75°F 38%
78-79°F 9%
80-81°F <1%
$24,188 Vol.
$24,188 Vol.
23 ago 2026
65°F o inferiore
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
38%
76-77°F
48%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84°F o superiore
<1%
76-77°F 48%
74-75°F 38%
78-79°F 9%
80-81°F <1%
$24,188 Vol.
$24,188 Vol.
23 ago 2026
65°F o inferiore
$826 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$828 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$2,973 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$2,346 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,779 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$3,441 Vol.
38%
76-77°F
$3,982 Vol.
48%
78-79°F
$3,409 Vol.
9%
80-81°F
$1,799 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$1,313 Vol.
1%
84°F o superiore
$1,493 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 76°F for Chicago on August 23 under mostly sunny skies with light northwest winds, positioning the 76-77°F range as the dominant outcome. Lake Michigan's moderating influence, combined with a cooler-than-normal air mass and limited afternoon heating, has suppressed temperatures below the 82°F climatological average. Scattered high clouds and stable atmospheric conditions further limit convective warming, keeping the market-implied probability concentrated on 74-77°F bands. Updated model runs show minimal upside risk for 78°F or higher, while downside scenarios remain constrained by daytime insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$24,188Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 76°F for Chicago on August 23 under mostly sunny skies with light northwest winds, positioning the 76-77°F range as the dominant outcome. Lake Michigan's moderating influence, combined with a cooler-than-normal air mass and limited afternoon heating, has suppressed temperatures below the 82°F climatological average. Scattered high clouds and stable atmospheric conditions further limit convective warming, keeping the market-implied probability concentrated on 74-77°F bands. Updated model runs show minimal upside risk for 78°F or higher, while downside scenarios remain constrained by daytime insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,188Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 76°F for Chicago on August 23 under mostly sunny skies with light northwest winds, positioning the 76-77°F range as the dominant outcome. Lake Michigan's moderating influence, combined with a cooler-than-normal air mass and limited afternoon heating, has suppressed temperatures below the 82°F climatological average. Scattered high clouds and stable atmospheric conditions further limit convective warming, keeping the market-implied probability concentrated on 74-77°F bands. Updated model runs show minimal upside risk for 78°F or higher, while downside scenarios remain constrained by daytime insolation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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