National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance position a Chicago high temperature of 76–78°F as the most probable outcome for August 24, reflecting a cooler-than-climatological pattern with northerly flow and limited daytime heating after recent frontal passage. Historical August normals near 82°F underscore the current anomaly, while short-range guidance shows tight clustering around the mid- to upper 70s with minimal spread across GFS and ECMWF runs. Traders appear to weigh the risk of slight model warming or urban heat-island effects that could push readings into the 78–79°F bin, though probabilities for 80°F or higher remain low absent unexpected southerly advection. Updated NWS point forecasts and hourly observations tomorrow morning will provide the final data for market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Chicago il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Chicago il 24 agosto?
76-77°F 51%
78-79°F 37%
74-75°F 10%
80-81°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
69°F o meno
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
51%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F o superiore
<1%
76-77°F 51%
78-79°F 37%
74-75°F 10%
80-81°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
69°F o meno
$120 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$115 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$380 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$270 Vol.
10%
76-77°F
$1,370 Vol.
51%
78-79°F
$213 Vol.
37%
80-81°F
$260 Vol.
6%
82-83°F
$143 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$83 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$145 Vol.
<1%
88°F o superiore
$165 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance position a Chicago high temperature of 76–78°F as the most probable outcome for August 24, reflecting a cooler-than-climatological pattern with northerly flow and limited daytime heating after recent frontal passage. Historical August normals near 82°F underscore the current anomaly, while short-range guidance shows tight clustering around the mid- to upper 70s with minimal spread across GFS and ECMWF runs. Traders appear to weigh the risk of slight model warming or urban heat-island effects that could push readings into the 78–79°F bin, though probabilities for 80°F or higher remain low absent unexpected southerly advection. Updated NWS point forecasts and hourly observations tomorrow morning will provide the final data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$3,265Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance position a Chicago high temperature of 76–78°F as the most probable outcome for August 24, reflecting a cooler-than-climatological pattern with northerly flow and limited daytime heating after recent frontal passage. Historical August normals near 82°F underscore the current anomaly, while short-range guidance shows tight clustering around the mid- to upper 70s with minimal spread across GFS and ECMWF runs. Traders appear to weigh the risk of slight model warming or urban heat-island effects that could push readings into the 78–79°F bin, though probabilities for 80°F or higher remain low absent unexpected southerly advection. Updated NWS point forecasts and hourly observations tomorrow morning will provide the final data for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,265Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance position a Chicago high temperature of 76–78°F as the most probable outcome for August 24, reflecting a cooler-than-climatological pattern with northerly flow and limited daytime heating after recent frontal passage. Historical August normals near 82°F underscore the current anomaly, while short-range guidance shows tight clustering around the mid- to upper 70s with minimal spread across GFS and ECMWF runs. Traders appear to weigh the risk of slight model warming or urban heat-island effects that could push readings into the 78–79°F bin, though probabilities for 80°F or higher remain low absent unexpected southerly advection. Updated NWS point forecasts and hourly observations tomorrow morning will provide the final data for market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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