Persistent marine layer stratus and a stable eastern Pacific trough-high pattern are anchoring San Francisco highs near seasonal norms of 68–70°F for August 25, with National Weather Service guidance centering on 67–69°F under continued onshore flow and a 1,000–1,500-foot inversion. Trader consensus clustering on 70–73°F brackets reflects modest afternoon clearing potential and slight model spread in marine-layer depth, while lower-probability warmer bins hinge on unexpected subtropical moisture or delayed fog burn-off. Historical analogs show August coastal maxima rarely exceed 74°F without ridge breakdown, and upcoming NWS updates plus satellite trends on stratus erosion will be the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 25 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 25 agosto?
72-73°F 28%
70-71°F 26%
74-75°F 19%
68-69°F 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
63°F o meno
2%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
3%
82°F o superiore
3%
72-73°F 28%
70-71°F 26%
74-75°F 19%
68-69°F 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
63°F o meno
$10 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$5 Vol.
3%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
9%
68-69°F
$30 Vol.
14%
70-71°F
$7 Vol.
26%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
28%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
19%
76-77°F
$2 Vol.
9%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
4%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
3%
82°F o superiore
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer stratus and a stable eastern Pacific trough-high pattern are anchoring San Francisco highs near seasonal norms of 68–70°F for August 25, with National Weather Service guidance centering on 67–69°F under continued onshore flow and a 1,000–1,500-foot inversion. Trader consensus clustering on 70–73°F brackets reflects modest afternoon clearing potential and slight model spread in marine-layer depth, while lower-probability warmer bins hinge on unexpected subtropical moisture or delayed fog burn-off. Historical analogs show August coastal maxima rarely exceed 74°F without ridge breakdown, and upcoming NWS updates plus satellite trends on stratus erosion will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$69Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer stratus and a stable eastern Pacific trough-high pattern are anchoring San Francisco highs near seasonal norms of 68–70°F for August 25, with National Weather Service guidance centering on 67–69°F under continued onshore flow and a 1,000–1,500-foot inversion. Trader consensus clustering on 70–73°F brackets reflects modest afternoon clearing potential and slight model spread in marine-layer depth, while lower-probability warmer bins hinge on unexpected subtropical moisture or delayed fog burn-off. Historical analogs show August coastal maxima rarely exceed 74°F without ridge breakdown, and upcoming NWS updates plus satellite trends on stratus erosion will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$69Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer stratus and a stable eastern Pacific trough-high pattern are anchoring San Francisco highs near seasonal norms of 68–70°F for August 25, with National Weather Service guidance centering on 67–69°F under continued onshore flow and a 1,000–1,500-foot inversion. Trader consensus clustering on 70–73°F brackets reflects modest afternoon clearing potential and slight model spread in marine-layer depth, while lower-probability warmer bins hinge on unexpected subtropical moisture or delayed fog burn-off. Historical analogs show August coastal maxima rarely exceed 74°F without ridge breakdown, and upcoming NWS updates plus satellite trends on stratus erosion will be the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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