Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs place Chicago’s expected overnight low near 64°F on August 25, aligning closely with the 30-year climatological normal. Trader sentiment remains split because modest differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer wind speed, and lake-breeze timing can shift the minimum by several degrees through changes in net longwave radiative cooling. Clear, calm conditions would favor readings in the upper 50s to low 60s, while increased low-level moisture or persistent cloud would limit cooling and push values toward the mid-60s. With resolution occurring within hours, the next model update cycle and surface observations will determine which narrow bin captures the greatest implied probability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Chicago il 25 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Chicago il 25 agosto?
49°F or below 69%
68°F or higher 69%
52-53°F 49%
54-55°F 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
49°F or below
69%
50-51°F
38%
52-53°F
49%
54-55°F
49%
56-57°F
25%
58-59°F
30%
60-61°F
30%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
38%
68°F or higher
69%
49°F or below 69%
68°F or higher 69%
52-53°F 49%
54-55°F 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
49°F or below
$5 Vol.
69%
50-51°F
$5 Vol.
38%
52-53°F
$5 Vol.
49%
54-55°F
$5 Vol.
49%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
25%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
30%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
30%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
25%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
25%
66-67°F
$5 Vol.
38%
68°F or higher
$5 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs place Chicago’s expected overnight low near 64°F on August 25, aligning closely with the 30-year climatological normal. Trader sentiment remains split because modest differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer wind speed, and lake-breeze timing can shift the minimum by several degrees through changes in net longwave radiative cooling. Clear, calm conditions would favor readings in the upper 50s to low 60s, while increased low-level moisture or persistent cloud would limit cooling and push values toward the mid-60s. With resolution occurring within hours, the next model update cycle and surface observations will determine which narrow bin captures the greatest implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$30Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs place Chicago’s expected overnight low near 64°F on August 25, aligning closely with the 30-year climatological normal. Trader sentiment remains split because modest differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer wind speed, and lake-breeze timing can shift the minimum by several degrees through changes in net longwave radiative cooling. Clear, calm conditions would favor readings in the upper 50s to low 60s, while increased low-level moisture or persistent cloud would limit cooling and push values toward the mid-60s. With resolution occurring within hours, the next model update cycle and surface observations will determine which narrow bin captures the greatest implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs place Chicago’s expected overnight low near 64°F on August 25, aligning closely with the 30-year climatological normal. Trader sentiment remains split because modest differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer wind speed, and lake-breeze timing can shift the minimum by several degrees through changes in net longwave radiative cooling. Clear, calm conditions would favor readings in the upper 50s to low 60s, while increased low-level moisture or persistent cloud would limit cooling and push values toward the mid-60s. With resolution occurring within hours, the next model update cycle and surface observations will determine which narrow bin captures the greatest implied probability.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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