Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate Dallas overnight lows on August 25 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 80s, with southerly flow and a warm, moist air mass limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. A potential tropical system influence around August 23-25 could enhance cloud cover and humidity, supporting warmer minimum temperatures near 84-87°F rather than seasonal norms of 75-77°F. This uncertainty—centered on exact cloud timing, wind shifts, and any scattered showers—explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 80-87°F bins, with traders weighing the latest model runs and steering patterns ahead of final observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Dallas il 25 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Dallas il 25 agosto?
84-85°F 48%
86-87°F 48%
78-79°F 44%
82-83°F 44%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
77°F o inferiore
29%
78-79°F
44%
80-81°F
43%
82-83°F
44%
84-85°F
48%
86-87°F
48%
88-89°F
44%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
15%
94-95°F
15%
96°F o superiore
23%
84-85°F 48%
86-87°F 48%
78-79°F 44%
82-83°F 44%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
77°F o inferiore
$5 Vol.
29%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
44%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
43%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
44%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
48%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
48%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
44%
90-91°F
$5 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$5 Vol.
15%
94-95°F
$5 Vol.
15%
96°F o superiore
$5 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate Dallas overnight lows on August 25 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 80s, with southerly flow and a warm, moist air mass limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. A potential tropical system influence around August 23-25 could enhance cloud cover and humidity, supporting warmer minimum temperatures near 84-87°F rather than seasonal norms of 75-77°F. This uncertainty—centered on exact cloud timing, wind shifts, and any scattered showers—explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 80-87°F bins, with traders weighing the latest model runs and steering patterns ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$25Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate Dallas overnight lows on August 25 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 80s, with southerly flow and a warm, moist air mass limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. A potential tropical system influence around August 23-25 could enhance cloud cover and humidity, supporting warmer minimum temperatures near 84-87°F rather than seasonal norms of 75-77°F. This uncertainty—centered on exact cloud timing, wind shifts, and any scattered showers—explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 80-87°F bins, with traders weighing the latest model runs and steering patterns ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus indicate Dallas overnight lows on August 25 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 80s, with southerly flow and a warm, moist air mass limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. A potential tropical system influence around August 23-25 could enhance cloud cover and humidity, supporting warmer minimum temperatures near 84-87°F rather than seasonal norms of 75-77°F. This uncertainty—centered on exact cloud timing, wind shifts, and any scattered showers—explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 80-87°F bins, with traders weighing the latest model runs and steering patterns ahead of final observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti