**Trader consensus centers on a 22–23°C high for Moscow on August 23, 2026, reflecting official forecast convergence and the seasonal late-August cooling trend.** Meteorological guidance from multiple sources, including timeanddate.com, Met Office equivalents, and local Russian forecasts, projects a daytime maximum near 22–23°C under mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies with light to moderate westerly or southwesterly flow. This places the market’s top two outcomes (23°C at 55.5% and 22°C at 36.5%) in line with expected peak values, while the modest 7.5% on 24°C captures residual model spread. Moscow’s climatology shows daily highs declining through August from roughly 24°C early in the month toward 20–21°C by month-end; the current pattern sits close to this trajectory after a cooler 19°C reading on August 19. No strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating is anticipated to push temperatures notably higher, and overnight lows near 15–16°C further constrain daytime recovery. Traders appear to assign low probability to outliers (25°C or above at under 2% combined) given the absence of anomalous synoptic support and the reliability of short-range numerical guidance at this lead time.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Mosca il 23 agosto?
23°C 56%
22°C 35%
24°C 8%
21°C 4%
$10,991 Vol.
$10,991 Vol.
23 ago 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
35%
23°C
56%
24°C
8%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 56%
22°C 35%
24°C 8%
21°C 4%
$10,991 Vol.
$10,991 Vol.
23 ago 2026
17°C or below
$217 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$458 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$288 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,120 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1,158 Vol.
4%
22°C
$2,158 Vol.
35%
23°C
$2,039 Vol.
56%
24°C
$1,422 Vol.
8%
25°C
$1,158 Vol.
2%
26°C
$417 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$556 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 22–23°C high for Moscow on August 23, 2026, reflecting official forecast convergence and the seasonal late-August cooling trend.**
Meteorological guidance from multiple sources, including timeanddate.com, Met Office equivalents, and local Russian forecasts, projects a daytime maximum near 22–23°C under mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies with light to moderate westerly or southwesterly flow. This places the market’s top two outcomes (23°C at 55.5% and 22°C at 36.5%) in line with expected peak values, while the modest 7.5% on 24°C captures residual model spread.
Moscow’s climatology shows daily highs declining through August from roughly 24°C early in the month toward 20–21°C by month-end; the current pattern sits close to this trajectory after a cooler 19°C reading on August 19. No strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating is anticipated to push temperatures notably higher, and overnight lows near 15–16°C further constrain daytime recovery. Traders appear to assign low probability to outliers (25°C or above at under 2% combined) given the absence of anomalous synoptic support and the reliability of short-range numerical guidance at this lead time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$10,991Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 22–23°C high for Moscow on August 23, 2026, reflecting official forecast convergence and the seasonal late-August cooling trend.**
Meteorological guidance from multiple sources, including timeanddate.com, Met Office equivalents, and local Russian forecasts, projects a daytime maximum near 22–23°C under mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies with light to moderate westerly or southwesterly flow. This places the market’s top two outcomes (23°C at 55.5% and 22°C at 36.5%) in line with expected peak values, while the modest 7.5% on 24°C captures residual model spread.
Moscow’s climatology shows daily highs declining through August from roughly 24°C early in the month toward 20–21°C by month-end; the current pattern sits close to this trajectory after a cooler 19°C reading on August 19. No strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating is anticipated to push temperatures notably higher, and overnight lows near 15–16°C further constrain daytime recovery. Traders appear to assign low probability to outliers (25°C or above at under 2% combined) given the absence of anomalous synoptic support and the reliability of short-range numerical guidance at this lead time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,991Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 22–23°C high for Moscow on August 23, 2026, reflecting official forecast convergence and the seasonal late-August cooling trend.** Meteorological guidance from multiple sources, including timeanddate.com, Met Office equivalents, and local Russian forecasts, projects a daytime maximum near 22–23°C under mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies with light to moderate westerly or southwesterly flow. This places the market’s top two outcomes (23°C at 55.5% and 22°C at 36.5%) in line with expected peak values, while the modest 7.5% on 24°C captures residual model spread. Moscow’s climatology shows daily highs declining through August from roughly 24°C early in the month toward 20–21°C by month-end; the current pattern sits close to this trajectory after a cooler 19°C reading on August 19. No strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating is anticipated to push temperatures notably higher, and overnight lows near 15–16°C further constrain daytime recovery. Traders appear to assign low probability to outliers (25°C or above at under 2% combined) given the absence of anomalous synoptic support and the reliability of short-range numerical guidance at this lead time.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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