**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and European guidance, point to a daytime high in Moscow of 19–20 °C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading on those two outcomes.** Westerly to southwesterly flow is advecting cooler maritime air across the region after recent showers, while increasing cloud cover and a modest chance of light rain will limit surface heating. The climatological average high for the date is 21.2 °C, but the ongoing seasonal decline and lack of strong ridging have kept the latest runs 1–2 °C below that benchmark. Model consensus remains tight around the 19–20 °C range, with only modest spread in the upper tail; a brief clearing window could allow a few tenths of a degree higher, but sustained cloudiness or showers would cap readings nearer 18–19 °C. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow 19–20 °C band at roughly 80 % combined implied probability, reflecting the stable short-range forecast and the narrow resolution thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Mosca il 24 agosto?
20°C 46%
19°C 34%
21°C 11%
18°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
15°C o inferiore
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
8%
19°C
34%
20°C
46%
21°C
11%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C o superiore
<1%
20°C 46%
19°C 34%
21°C 11%
18°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
15°C o inferiore
$60 Vol.
1%
16°C
$38 Vol.
1%
17°C
$124 Vol.
3%
18°C
$266 Vol.
8%
19°C
$108 Vol.
34%
20°C
$597 Vol.
46%
21°C
$183 Vol.
11%
22°C
$117 Vol.
3%
23°C
$70 Vol.
1%
24°C
$43 Vol.
1%
25°C o superiore
$136 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and European guidance, point to a daytime high in Moscow of 19–20 °C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading on those two outcomes.**
Westerly to southwesterly flow is advecting cooler maritime air across the region after recent showers, while increasing cloud cover and a modest chance of light rain will limit surface heating. The climatological average high for the date is 21.2 °C, but the ongoing seasonal decline and lack of strong ridging have kept the latest runs 1–2 °C below that benchmark.
Model consensus remains tight around the 19–20 °C range, with only modest spread in the upper tail; a brief clearing window could allow a few tenths of a degree higher, but sustained cloudiness or showers would cap readings nearer 18–19 °C. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow 19–20 °C band at roughly 80 % combined implied probability, reflecting the stable short-range forecast and the narrow resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,739Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and European guidance, point to a daytime high in Moscow of 19–20 °C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading on those two outcomes.**
Westerly to southwesterly flow is advecting cooler maritime air across the region after recent showers, while increasing cloud cover and a modest chance of light rain will limit surface heating. The climatological average high for the date is 21.2 °C, but the ongoing seasonal decline and lack of strong ridging have kept the latest runs 1–2 °C below that benchmark.
Model consensus remains tight around the 19–20 °C range, with only modest spread in the upper tail; a brief clearing window could allow a few tenths of a degree higher, but sustained cloudiness or showers would cap readings nearer 18–19 °C. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow 19–20 °C band at roughly 80 % combined implied probability, reflecting the stable short-range forecast and the narrow resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,739Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and European guidance, point to a daytime high in Moscow of 19–20 °C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading on those two outcomes.** Westerly to southwesterly flow is advecting cooler maritime air across the region after recent showers, while increasing cloud cover and a modest chance of light rain will limit surface heating. The climatological average high for the date is 21.2 °C, but the ongoing seasonal decline and lack of strong ridging have kept the latest runs 1–2 °C below that benchmark. Model consensus remains tight around the 19–20 °C range, with only modest spread in the upper tail; a brief clearing window could allow a few tenths of a degree higher, but sustained cloudiness or showers would cap readings nearer 18–19 °C. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow 19–20 °C band at roughly 80 % combined implied probability, reflecting the stable short-range forecast and the narrow resolution thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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