Forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles points to an overnight minimum near 12–13°C in Moscow on August 24 under mostly stable late-summer conditions with light northwest flow and variable cloud cover. This aligns with the climatological decline in August lows from ~15°C early in the month toward 12°C by the final week, driven by reduced solar insolation and increasing radiative cooling potential overnight. Trader sentiment favors the 9°C-or-below outcome at 38–41% implied probability due to downside risk from clearer skies or stronger advection, while 12–13°C buckets capture the central forecast range amid typical model spread of 2–3°C for minimum temperatures. Upcoming high-resolution runs and local observations will refine resolution thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Mosca il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Mosca il 24 agosto?
9°C o inferiore 38%
13°C 37%
12°C 26%
10°C 20%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
9°C o inferiore
38%
10°C
20%
11°C
20%
12°C
26%
13°C
28%
14°C
20%
15°C
19%
16°C
4%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C o superiore
1%
9°C o inferiore 38%
13°C 37%
12°C 26%
10°C 20%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
9°C o inferiore
$37 Vol.
38%
10°C
$0 Vol.
20%
11°C
$0 Vol.
20%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$5 Vol.
28%
14°C
$0 Vol.
20%
15°C
$9 Vol.
19%
16°C
$43 Vol.
4%
17°C
$30 Vol.
2%
18°C
$5 Vol.
2%
19°C o superiore
$45 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles points to an overnight minimum near 12–13°C in Moscow on August 24 under mostly stable late-summer conditions with light northwest flow and variable cloud cover. This aligns with the climatological decline in August lows from ~15°C early in the month toward 12°C by the final week, driven by reduced solar insolation and increasing radiative cooling potential overnight. Trader sentiment favors the 9°C-or-below outcome at 38–41% implied probability due to downside risk from clearer skies or stronger advection, while 12–13°C buckets capture the central forecast range amid typical model spread of 2–3°C for minimum temperatures. Upcoming high-resolution runs and local observations will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$175Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles points to an overnight minimum near 12–13°C in Moscow on August 24 under mostly stable late-summer conditions with light northwest flow and variable cloud cover. This aligns with the climatological decline in August lows from ~15°C early in the month toward 12°C by the final week, driven by reduced solar insolation and increasing radiative cooling potential overnight. Trader sentiment favors the 9°C-or-below outcome at 38–41% implied probability due to downside risk from clearer skies or stronger advection, while 12–13°C buckets capture the central forecast range amid typical model spread of 2–3°C for minimum temperatures. Upcoming high-resolution runs and local observations will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$175Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles points to an overnight minimum near 12–13°C in Moscow on August 24 under mostly stable late-summer conditions with light northwest flow and variable cloud cover. This aligns with the climatological decline in August lows from ~15°C early in the month toward 12°C by the final week, driven by reduced solar insolation and increasing radiative cooling potential overnight. Trader sentiment favors the 9°C-or-below outcome at 38–41% implied probability due to downside risk from clearer skies or stronger advection, while 12–13°C buckets capture the central forecast range amid typical model spread of 2–3°C for minimum temperatures. Upcoming high-resolution runs and local observations will refine resolution thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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