Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C at Moscow’s Vnukovo station on August 23, driven by overnight radiative cooling beneath a strengthening high-pressure ridge with light winds and limited cloud cover. These conditions promote efficient heat loss from the surface, consistent with late-August climatology showing typical lows of 13–14°C. Traders weigh small differences in model guidance on boundary-layer humidity and urban heat-island effects, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Updated runs and any late-day observations will refine the final recorded value used for market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Mosca il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Mosca il 23 agosto?
15°C 40%
14°C 20%
13°C 19%
11°C 14.1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
14%
12°C
8%
13°C
19%
14°C
20%
15°C
40%
16°C
34%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 40%
14°C 20%
13°C 19%
11°C 14.1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
10°C or below
$96 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$81 Vol.
14%
12°C
$59 Vol.
8%
13°C
$10 Vol.
19%
14°C
$10 Vol.
20%
15°C
$38 Vol.
40%
16°C
$22 Vol.
34%
17°C
$215 Vol.
1%
18°C
$203 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$138 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$427 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C at Moscow’s Vnukovo station on August 23, driven by overnight radiative cooling beneath a strengthening high-pressure ridge with light winds and limited cloud cover. These conditions promote efficient heat loss from the surface, consistent with late-August climatology showing typical lows of 13–14°C. Traders weigh small differences in model guidance on boundary-layer humidity and urban heat-island effects, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Updated runs and any late-day observations will refine the final recorded value used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,299Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C at Moscow’s Vnukovo station on August 23, driven by overnight radiative cooling beneath a strengthening high-pressure ridge with light winds and limited cloud cover. These conditions promote efficient heat loss from the surface, consistent with late-August climatology showing typical lows of 13–14°C. Traders weigh small differences in model guidance on boundary-layer humidity and urban heat-island effects, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Updated runs and any late-day observations will refine the final recorded value used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,299Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C at Moscow’s Vnukovo station on August 23, driven by overnight radiative cooling beneath a strengthening high-pressure ridge with light winds and limited cloud cover. These conditions promote efficient heat loss from the surface, consistent with late-August climatology showing typical lows of 13–14°C. Traders weigh small differences in model guidance on boundary-layer humidity and urban heat-island effects, which can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. Updated runs and any late-day observations will refine the final recorded value used for market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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