Recent forecast models from meteorological services indicate a maximum temperature of 12–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 57.5% and 26.5% implied probability. Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with a stable high-pressure system and light winds, are suppressing daytime warming below the seasonal average high near 16–17°C. Official guidance shows limited model spread, with minimal potential for outliers above 14°C or below 12°C due to consistent cloud cover and stable air masses. Updated model runs and real-time observations will refine these probabilities as the day progresses toward resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 23 agosto?
13°C 57%
12°C 27%
14°C 14%
11°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
27%
13°C
57%
14°C
14%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 57%
12°C 27%
14°C 14%
11°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
8°C or below
$334 Vol.
1%
9°C
$596 Vol.
1%
10°C
$283 Vol.
1%
11°C
$356 Vol.
4%
12°C
$1,163 Vol.
27%
13°C
$1,488 Vol.
57%
14°C
$1,108 Vol.
14%
15°C
$682 Vol.
1%
16°C
$276 Vol.
1%
17°C
$279 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$877 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from meteorological services indicate a maximum temperature of 12–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 57.5% and 26.5% implied probability. Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with a stable high-pressure system and light winds, are suppressing daytime warming below the seasonal average high near 16–17°C. Official guidance shows limited model spread, with minimal potential for outliers above 14°C or below 12°C due to consistent cloud cover and stable air masses. Updated model runs and real-time observations will refine these probabilities as the day progresses toward resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
Volume
$7,442Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from meteorological services indicate a maximum temperature of 12–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 57.5% and 26.5% implied probability. Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with a stable high-pressure system and light winds, are suppressing daytime warming below the seasonal average high near 16–17°C. Official guidance shows limited model spread, with minimal potential for outliers above 14°C or below 12°C due to consistent cloud cover and stable air masses. Updated model runs and real-time observations will refine these probabilities as the day progresses toward resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,442Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from meteorological services indicate a maximum temperature of 12–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 57.5% and 26.5% implied probability. Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with a stable high-pressure system and light winds, are suppressing daytime warming below the seasonal average high near 16–17°C. Official guidance shows limited model spread, with minimal potential for outliers above 14°C or below 12°C due to consistent cloud cover and stable air masses. Updated model runs and real-time observations will refine these probabilities as the day progresses toward resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti