Current observational data and forecast models from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate the temperature in Buenos Aires will reach a minimum of 0°C during the early morning hours of August 23 before rising, producing the overwhelming market-implied probability of 99.5% for that exact outcome. Clear skies, light winds, and radiational cooling under a stable high-pressure system support this precise threshold without pushing readings below freezing. Official station measurements and nearby model guidance show little divergence at this resolution, though traders recognize that final verified daily minimums can shift slightly with instrument placement or microclimate effects. Resolution will occur once the full 24-hour observational record is confirmed.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Buenos Aires il 23 agosto?
0°C 99.5%
-1°C <1%
-2°C or below <1%
1°C <1%
$5,076 Vol.
$5,076 Vol.
-2°C or below
<1%
-1°C
<1%
0°C
100%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C or higher
<1%
0°C 99.5%
-1°C <1%
-2°C or below <1%
1°C <1%
$5,076 Vol.
$5,076 Vol.
-2°C or below
<1%
-1°C
<1%
0°C
100%
1°C
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current observational data and forecast models from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate the temperature in Buenos Aires will reach a minimum of 0°C during the early morning hours of August 23 before rising, producing the overwhelming market-implied probability of 99.5% for that exact outcome. Clear skies, light winds, and radiational cooling under a stable high-pressure system support this precise threshold without pushing readings below freezing. Official station measurements and nearby model guidance show little divergence at this resolution, though traders recognize that final verified daily minimums can shift slightly with instrument placement or microclimate effects. Resolution will occur once the full 24-hour observational record is confirmed.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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