Forecast consensus from regional meteorological models positions a daily minimum near 26°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv on August 23, reflecting persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly Mediterranean flow, and late-summer subsidence that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling. Overnight lows are expected in the 25–27°C range under mostly clear skies and moderate humidity, aligning with climatological August averages slightly above the long-term 25.4°C baseline for minimum temperatures. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the market's 58.5% implied probability on 26°C while assigning secondary weight to 25°C or 24°C if localized cooling strengthens. No significant synoptic shifts, such as stronger onshore breezes or cloud cover, have emerged to alter this outlook ahead of final overnight observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Tel Aviv il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Tel Aviv il 23 agosto?
25°C 22%
24°C 12%
23°C 7%
22°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
12%
25°C
22%
26°C
64%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 22%
24°C 12%
23°C 7%
22°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
21°C or below
$136 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$194 Vol.
1%
23°C
$98 Vol.
7%
24°C
$0 Vol.
12%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$97 Vol.
64%
27°C
$395 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$289 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$289 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from regional meteorological models positions a daily minimum near 26°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv on August 23, reflecting persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly Mediterranean flow, and late-summer subsidence that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling. Overnight lows are expected in the 25–27°C range under mostly clear skies and moderate humidity, aligning with climatological August averages slightly above the long-term 25.4°C baseline for minimum temperatures. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the market's 58.5% implied probability on 26°C while assigning secondary weight to 25°C or 24°C if localized cooling strengthens. No significant synoptic shifts, such as stronger onshore breezes or cloud cover, have emerged to alter this outlook ahead of final overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,757Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from regional meteorological models positions a daily minimum near 26°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv on August 23, reflecting persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly Mediterranean flow, and late-summer subsidence that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling. Overnight lows are expected in the 25–27°C range under mostly clear skies and moderate humidity, aligning with climatological August averages slightly above the long-term 25.4°C baseline for minimum temperatures. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the market's 58.5% implied probability on 26°C while assigning secondary weight to 25°C or 24°C if localized cooling strengthens. No significant synoptic shifts, such as stronger onshore breezes or cloud cover, have emerged to alter this outlook ahead of final overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,757Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from regional meteorological models positions a daily minimum near 26°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv on August 23, reflecting persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly Mediterranean flow, and late-summer subsidence that restricts nocturnal radiative cooling. Overnight lows are expected in the 25–27°C range under mostly clear skies and moderate humidity, aligning with climatological August averages slightly above the long-term 25.4°C baseline for minimum temperatures. Recent model runs show limited spread, supporting the market's 58.5% implied probability on 26°C while assigning secondary weight to 25°C or 24°C if localized cooling strengthens. No significant synoptic shifts, such as stronger onshore breezes or cloud cover, have emerged to alter this outlook ahead of final overnight observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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