Current short-range forecasts from global models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv near 25–26°C on August 25, consistent with late-summer climatology where coastal Mediterranean moderation and light winds typically produce minimum temperatures of 24–26°C. This positions the 23°C and 24°C outcomes as scientifically plausible alongside the market-leading 28°C-or-higher probability, reflecting uncertainty in how much daytime heat retention or subtle advection may elevate the diurnal minimum. No significant synoptic shifts, such as stronger onshore flow or cloud cover, appear in recent guidance to push values notably lower or higher. Updated runs from agencies monitoring regional conditions will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Tel Aviv il 25 agosto?
28°C or higher 87%
23°C 27%
24°C 27%
25°C 26%
18°C or below
5%
19°C
22%
20°C
25%
21°C
25%
22°C
22%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
87%
28°C or higher 87%
23°C 27%
24°C 27%
25°C 26%
18°C or below
5%
19°C
22%
20°C
25%
21°C
25%
22°C
22%
23°C
27%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
87%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from global models indicate overnight lows in Tel Aviv near 25–26°C on August 25, consistent with late-summer climatology where coastal Mediterranean moderation and light winds typically produce minimum temperatures of 24–26°C. This positions the 23°C and 24°C outcomes as scientifically plausible alongside the market-leading 28°C-or-higher probability, reflecting uncertainty in how much daytime heat retention or subtle advection may elevate the diurnal minimum. No significant synoptic shifts, such as stronger onshore flow or cloud cover, appear in recent guidance to push values notably lower or higher. Updated runs from agencies monitoring regional conditions will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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