Incumbent Democrat Luz Rivas secured first place in California’s June 2026 top-two primary for the 29th congressional district, advancing alongside fellow Democrat Angélica Dueñas while the leading Republican finished third. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins, positions any Democratic nominee as the heavy favorite in the November general election under the state’s primary rules. Trader consensus on Democratic victory aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of a Republican in the runoff, though the final outcome remains subject to turnout patterns and any late shifts in voter preferences before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera CA-29
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera CA-29
$18,697 Vol.
$18,697 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
89%
Partito Repubblicano
7%
$18,697 Vol.
$18,697 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$10,338 Vol.
89%
Partito Repubblicano
$8,358 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Luz Rivas secured first place in California’s June 2026 top-two primary for the 29th congressional district, advancing alongside fellow Democrat Angélica Dueñas while the leading Republican finished third. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins, positions any Democratic nominee as the heavy favorite in the November general election under the state’s primary rules. Trader consensus on Democratic victory aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of a Republican in the runoff, though the final outcome remains subject to turnout patterns and any late shifts in voter preferences before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$18,697Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Luz Rivas secured first place in California’s June 2026 top-two primary for the 29th congressional district, advancing alongside fellow Democrat Angélica Dueñas while the leading Republican finished third. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins, positions any Democratic nominee as the heavy favorite in the November general election under the state’s primary rules. Trader consensus on Democratic victory aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of a Republican in the runoff, though the final outcome remains subject to turnout patterns and any late shifts in voter preferences before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,697Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Luz Rivas secured first place in California’s June 2026 top-two primary for the 29th congressional district, advancing alongside fellow Democrat Angélica Dueñas while the leading Republican finished third. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and prior election margins, positions any Democratic nominee as the heavy favorite in the November general election under the state’s primary rules. Trader consensus on Democratic victory aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of a Republican in the runoff, though the final outcome remains subject to turnout patterns and any late shifts in voter preferences before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti