The closely contested TX-15 race stems from its status as one of few competitive South Texas districts, where recent polling shows Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido and Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz separated by just a few points in head-to-head surveys. Primary outcomes, candidate fundraising, and local voter turnout patterns among key blocs have kept probabilities tight, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over which party will secure the seat in November 2026. Further separation could emerge from upcoming polls, campaign advertising volume, or shifts in national midterm dynamics that influence battleground turnout.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTX-15 House Election Winner
TX-15 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
52%
Republican Party
46%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$2,336 Vol.
52%
Republican Party
$2,383 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The closely contested TX-15 race stems from its status as one of few competitive South Texas districts, where recent polling shows Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido and Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz separated by just a few points in head-to-head surveys. Primary outcomes, candidate fundraising, and local voter turnout patterns among key blocs have kept probabilities tight, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over which party will secure the seat in November 2026. Further separation could emerge from upcoming polls, campaign advertising volume, or shifts in national midterm dynamics that influence battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volume
$4,719Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The closely contested TX-15 race stems from its status as one of few competitive South Texas districts, where recent polling shows Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido and Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz separated by just a few points in head-to-head surveys. Primary outcomes, candidate fundraising, and local voter turnout patterns among key blocs have kept probabilities tight, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over which party will secure the seat in November 2026. Further separation could emerge from upcoming polls, campaign advertising volume, or shifts in national midterm dynamics that influence battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$4,719Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The closely contested TX-15 race stems from its status as one of few competitive South Texas districts, where recent polling shows Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido and Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz separated by just a few points in head-to-head surveys. Primary outcomes, candidate fundraising, and local voter turnout patterns among key blocs have kept probabilities tight, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over which party will secure the seat in November 2026. Further separation could emerge from upcoming polls, campaign advertising volume, or shifts in national midterm dynamics that influence battleground turnout.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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