California's 28th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean driven by voter registration advantages, consistent primary and general election margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, and urban-suburban demographics in the Los Angeles area. With the 2026 midterm still months away and no prominent Republican challengers emerging in filings or early fundraising reports, traders assign overwhelming probability to continued Democratic control. This consensus reflects baseline historical patterns for the seat rather than specific 2026 polling. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unexpected retirement announcement, a high-profile primary challenge shifting the nominee, or a broader national Republican surge altering turnout dynamics in battleground-adjacent districts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera CA-28
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera CA-28
$110,065 Vol.
$110,065 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
94%
Partito Repubblicano
6%
$110,065 Vol.
$110,065 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$48,666 Vol.
94%
Partito Repubblicano
$61,400 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 28th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean driven by voter registration advantages, consistent primary and general election margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, and urban-suburban demographics in the Los Angeles area. With the 2026 midterm still months away and no prominent Republican challengers emerging in filings or early fundraising reports, traders assign overwhelming probability to continued Democratic control. This consensus reflects baseline historical patterns for the seat rather than specific 2026 polling. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unexpected retirement announcement, a high-profile primary challenge shifting the nominee, or a broader national Republican surge altering turnout dynamics in battleground-adjacent districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$110,065Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 28th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean driven by voter registration advantages, consistent primary and general election margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, and urban-suburban demographics in the Los Angeles area. With the 2026 midterm still months away and no prominent Republican challengers emerging in filings or early fundraising reports, traders assign overwhelming probability to continued Democratic control. This consensus reflects baseline historical patterns for the seat rather than specific 2026 polling. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unexpected retirement announcement, a high-profile primary challenge shifting the nominee, or a broader national Republican surge altering turnout dynamics in battleground-adjacent districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$110,065Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 28th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean driven by voter registration advantages, consistent primary and general election margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, and urban-suburban demographics in the Los Angeles area. With the 2026 midterm still months away and no prominent Republican challengers emerging in filings or early fundraising reports, traders assign overwhelming probability to continued Democratic control. This consensus reflects baseline historical patterns for the seat rather than specific 2026 polling. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unexpected retirement announcement, a high-profile primary challenge shifting the nominee, or a broader national Republican surge altering turnout dynamics in battleground-adjacent districts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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