Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2026 primary with a majority and faces Republican Shane Lewis in the November general election for California's 18th congressional district. The seat's pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and Lofgren's consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, anchors trader consensus near 95% for the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical turnout patterns, fundraising gaps, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Late shifts remain possible if a significant scandal, health development, or national Republican surge alters voter behavior before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera CA-18
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera CA-18
$35,450 Vol.
$35,450 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
95%
Partito Repubblicano
4%
$35,450 Vol.
$35,450 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$16,704 Vol.
95%
Partito Repubblicano
$18,746 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2026 primary with a majority and faces Republican Shane Lewis in the November general election for California's 18th congressional district. The seat's pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and Lofgren's consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, anchors trader consensus near 95% for the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical turnout patterns, fundraising gaps, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Late shifts remain possible if a significant scandal, health development, or national Republican surge alters voter behavior before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$35,450Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2026 primary with a majority and faces Republican Shane Lewis in the November general election for California's 18th congressional district. The seat's pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and Lofgren's consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, anchors trader consensus near 95% for the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical turnout patterns, fundraising gaps, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Late shifts remain possible if a significant scandal, health development, or national Republican surge alters voter behavior before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,450Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2026 primary with a majority and faces Republican Shane Lewis in the November general election for California's 18th congressional district. The seat's pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and Lofgren's consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles, anchors trader consensus near 95% for the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical turnout patterns, fundraising gaps, and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. Late shifts remain possible if a significant scandal, health development, or national Republican surge alters voter behavior before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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