TX-30's strong Democratic lean, rooted in its urban Dallas demographics and consistent high Democratic vote shares in recent cycles, underpins the 95% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Frederick Haynes III secured the party's nod in the March 2026 primary after incumbent Jasmine Crockett pursued a Senate bid, drawing endorsements that consolidated support. Everett Jackson emerged as the Republican nominee following the May runoff. The district's partisan composition and limited recent shifts in voter patterns create substantial structural barriers for Republicans, though late developments such as turnout surges, candidate controversies, or national political waves could still narrow margins within the November 2026 resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTX-30 House Election Winner
TX-30 House Election Winner
$19,163 Vol.
$19,163 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$19,163 Vol.
$19,163 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$5,578 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$13,585 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).TX-30's strong Democratic lean, rooted in its urban Dallas demographics and consistent high Democratic vote shares in recent cycles, underpins the 95% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Frederick Haynes III secured the party's nod in the March 2026 primary after incumbent Jasmine Crockett pursued a Senate bid, drawing endorsements that consolidated support. Everett Jackson emerged as the Republican nominee following the May runoff. The district's partisan composition and limited recent shifts in voter patterns create substantial structural barriers for Republicans, though late developments such as turnout surges, candidate controversies, or national political waves could still narrow margins within the November 2026 resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$19,163Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).TX-30's strong Democratic lean, rooted in its urban Dallas demographics and consistent high Democratic vote shares in recent cycles, underpins the 95% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Frederick Haynes III secured the party's nod in the March 2026 primary after incumbent Jasmine Crockett pursued a Senate bid, drawing endorsements that consolidated support. Everett Jackson emerged as the Republican nominee following the May runoff. The district's partisan composition and limited recent shifts in voter patterns create substantial structural barriers for Republicans, though late developments such as turnout surges, candidate controversies, or national political waves could still narrow margins within the November 2026 resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,163Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...TX-30's strong Democratic lean, rooted in its urban Dallas demographics and consistent high Democratic vote shares in recent cycles, underpins the 95% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Frederick Haynes III secured the party's nod in the March 2026 primary after incumbent Jasmine Crockett pursued a Senate bid, drawing endorsements that consolidated support. Everett Jackson emerged as the Republican nominee following the May runoff. The district's partisan composition and limited recent shifts in voter patterns create substantial structural barriers for Republicans, though late developments such as turnout surges, candidate controversies, or national political waves could still narrow margins within the November 2026 resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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