Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a structural edge in Minnesota’s 1st congressional district, rated Solid or Likely Republican by nonpartisan analysts with a partisan voting index of R+6. Finstad’s 2024 victory margin exceeded 17 points, and the August 11 primaries for both parties leave limited time for challengers to close gaps before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 75% Republican reflects the district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles, fundraising advantages for the incumbent, and absence of major late developments that would shift the race into toss-up territory. Democratic primary contenders Alex Eaton and Jake Johnson face the task of consolidating support and mounting a general-election campaign in a seat last won by their party more than a decade ago.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMN-01 House Election Winner
MN-01 House Election Winner
$19,591 Vol.
$19,591 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
75%
Democratic Party
26%
$19,591 Vol.
$19,591 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$9,342 Vol.
75%
Democratic Party
$10,249 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a structural edge in Minnesota’s 1st congressional district, rated Solid or Likely Republican by nonpartisan analysts with a partisan voting index of R+6. Finstad’s 2024 victory margin exceeded 17 points, and the August 11 primaries for both parties leave limited time for challengers to close gaps before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 75% Republican reflects the district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles, fundraising advantages for the incumbent, and absence of major late developments that would shift the race into toss-up territory. Democratic primary contenders Alex Eaton and Jake Johnson face the task of consolidating support and mounting a general-election campaign in a seat last won by their party more than a decade ago.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$19,591Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a structural edge in Minnesota’s 1st congressional district, rated Solid or Likely Republican by nonpartisan analysts with a partisan voting index of R+6. Finstad’s 2024 victory margin exceeded 17 points, and the August 11 primaries for both parties leave limited time for challengers to close gaps before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 75% Republican reflects the district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles, fundraising advantages for the incumbent, and absence of major late developments that would shift the race into toss-up territory. Democratic primary contenders Alex Eaton and Jake Johnson face the task of consolidating support and mounting a general-election campaign in a seat last won by their party more than a decade ago.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,591Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a structural edge in Minnesota’s 1st congressional district, rated Solid or Likely Republican by nonpartisan analysts with a partisan voting index of R+6. Finstad’s 2024 victory margin exceeded 17 points, and the August 11 primaries for both parties leave limited time for challengers to close gaps before the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 75% Republican reflects the district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles, fundraising advantages for the incumbent, and absence of major late developments that would shift the race into toss-up territory. Democratic primary contenders Alex Eaton and Jake Johnson face the task of consolidating support and mounting a general-election campaign in a seat last won by their party more than a decade ago.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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