**Recent forecasts for Singapore on August 24, 2026, consistently point to an overnight minimum between roughly 26–28 °C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions.** Official outlooks and numerical models (GFS, ECMWF-influenced guidance) show nighttime temperatures holding above the long-term August average minimum of ~24.5 °C, with most guidance converging on 26–28 °C as the most probable range for the daily low. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes and the broader pattern observed through mid-to-late August, when minimums have frequently stayed at or above 26 °C amid above-average warmth and relatively high humidity. Key differentiating factors include the degree of nocturnal cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling; southeasterly winds that moderate temperature drops; and any localized showers that could either enhance evaporative cooling or maintain elevated dew points. Recent dryness across the region has reduced widespread rain, favoring clearer intervals that still allow minima to remain elevated compared with historical norms. Model spread and micro-scale urban effects introduce the modest uncertainty reflected in the closely matched probabilities for 26 °C, 27 °C, and 28 °C. Newer forecast updates and official Singapore Meteorological Service briefings will be the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Singapore on August 24?
28°C 37%
26°C 21%
27°C 20%
25°C 18%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
18%
26°C
21%
27°C
20%
28°C
25%
29°C
16%
30°C
14%
31°C or higher
2%
28°C 37%
26°C 21%
27°C 20%
25°C 18%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
18%
26°C
21%
27°C
20%
28°C
25%
29°C
16%
30°C
14%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Singapore on August 24, 2026, consistently point to an overnight minimum between roughly 26–28 °C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions.** Official outlooks and numerical models (GFS, ECMWF-influenced guidance) show nighttime temperatures holding above the long-term August average minimum of ~24.5 °C, with most guidance converging on 26–28 °C as the most probable range for the daily low. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes and the broader pattern observed through mid-to-late August, when minimums have frequently stayed at or above 26 °C amid above-average warmth and relatively high humidity. Key differentiating factors include the degree of nocturnal cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling; southeasterly winds that moderate temperature drops; and any localized showers that could either enhance evaporative cooling or maintain elevated dew points. Recent dryness across the region has reduced widespread rain, favoring clearer intervals that still allow minima to remain elevated compared with historical norms. Model spread and micro-scale urban effects introduce the modest uncertainty reflected in the closely matched probabilities for 26 °C, 27 °C, and 28 °C. Newer forecast updates and official Singapore Meteorological Service briefings will be the primary near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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