Current forecast guidance from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a daily minimum near 22–23°C in Milan on September 6 under a strong high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light easterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining warm advection from the Po Valley. Persistent anomalous warmth early in the month, with recent daytime peaks above 33°C, has kept overnight lows elevated relative to climatological September averages around 16–18°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly because small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or exact timing of any weak frontal approach could shift the low by 2–3°C, while the slim chance of 19°C or below would require stronger cooling or a model shift not yet evident in official runs. Traders weigh these variables against the dominant warm, stable pattern.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Milan on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 6?
18°C or below 89%
28°C or higher 59%
22°C 48%
23°C 48%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
18°C or below
89%
19°C
31%
20°C
34%
21°C
31%
22°C
48%
23°C
48%
24°C
48%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
59%
18°C or below 89%
28°C or higher 59%
22°C 48%
23°C 48%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
89%
19°C
$2 Vol.
31%
20°C
$0 Vol.
34%
21°C
$0 Vol.
31%
22°C
$0 Vol.
48%
23°C
$0 Vol.
48%
24°C
$0 Vol.
48%
25°C
$0 Vol.
3%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a daily minimum near 22–23°C in Milan on September 6 under a strong high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light easterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining warm advection from the Po Valley. Persistent anomalous warmth early in the month, with recent daytime peaks above 33°C, has kept overnight lows elevated relative to climatological September averages around 16–18°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly because small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or exact timing of any weak frontal approach could shift the low by 2–3°C, while the slim chance of 19°C or below would require stronger cooling or a model shift not yet evident in official runs. Traders weigh these variables against the dominant warm, stable pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a daily minimum near 22–23°C in Milan on September 6 under a strong high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light easterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining warm advection from the Po Valley. Persistent anomalous warmth early in the month, with recent daytime peaks above 33°C, has kept overnight lows elevated relative to climatological September averages around 16–18°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly because small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or exact timing of any weak frontal approach could shift the low by 2–3°C, while the slim chance of 19°C or below would require stronger cooling or a model shift not yet evident in official runs. Traders weigh these variables against the dominant warm, stable pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a daily minimum near 22–23°C in Milan on September 6 under a strong high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light easterly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining warm advection from the Po Valley. Persistent anomalous warmth early in the month, with recent daytime peaks above 33°C, has kept overnight lows elevated relative to climatological September averages around 16–18°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly because small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or exact timing of any weak frontal approach could shift the low by 2–3°C, while the slim chance of 19°C or below would require stronger cooling or a model shift not yet evident in official runs. Traders weigh these variables against the dominant warm, stable pattern.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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