Recent high-pressure dominance and light easterly flow across the Po Valley have produced clear overnight conditions favoring radiative cooling, locking in an observed minimum of 15°C for Milan on August 23. Official station data and model consensus from ECMWF and GFS align on this threshold, consistent with seasonal climatology for late-August nights under stable anticyclonic regimes. The 99% market-implied probability reflects traders’ confidence in verified measurements rather than forecasts. Brief increases in low-level moisture or wind mixing could nudge the low slightly higher, though such shifts would require rapid synoptic changes unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Milan on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 23?
15°C 99%
14°C 2%
13°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
$4,747 Vol.
$4,747 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
99%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
15°C 99%
14°C 2%
13°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
$4,747 Vol.
$4,747 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
13°C or below
$342 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$105 Vol.
2%
15°C
$88 Vol.
99%
16°C
$347 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$524 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$237 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$628 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,606 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$210 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$423 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$239 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance and light easterly flow across the Po Valley have produced clear overnight conditions favoring radiative cooling, locking in an observed minimum of 15°C for Milan on August 23. Official station data and model consensus from ECMWF and GFS align on this threshold, consistent with seasonal climatology for late-August nights under stable anticyclonic regimes. The 99% market-implied probability reflects traders’ confidence in verified measurements rather than forecasts. Brief increases in low-level moisture or wind mixing could nudge the low slightly higher, though such shifts would require rapid synoptic changes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$4,747Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance and light easterly flow across the Po Valley have produced clear overnight conditions favoring radiative cooling, locking in an observed minimum of 15°C for Milan on August 23. Official station data and model consensus from ECMWF and GFS align on this threshold, consistent with seasonal climatology for late-August nights under stable anticyclonic regimes. The 99% market-implied probability reflects traders’ confidence in verified measurements rather than forecasts. Brief increases in low-level moisture or wind mixing could nudge the low slightly higher, though such shifts would require rapid synoptic changes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,747Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure dominance and light easterly flow across the Po Valley have produced clear overnight conditions favoring radiative cooling, locking in an observed minimum of 15°C for Milan on August 23. Official station data and model consensus from ECMWF and GFS align on this threshold, consistent with seasonal climatology for late-August nights under stable anticyclonic regimes. The 99% market-implied probability reflects traders’ confidence in verified measurements rather than forecasts. Brief increases in low-level moisture or wind mixing could nudge the low slightly higher, though such shifts would require rapid synoptic changes unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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