Persistent summer warmth and high humidity across Shandong province keep overnight radiative cooling minimal in Jinan, with official forecasts and regional models projecting minimum temperatures of 25–27°C on August 23 under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. This aligns with late-August climatology showing typical diurnal ranges of 10–14°C and historical minima rarely falling below 24°C absent strong frontal passages. The 99.5% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric conditions and limited model spread. An unexpected clear-sky radiative cooling event or rapid advection of cooler air could theoretically lower readings, though current guidance shows negligible likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Jinan on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on August 23?
22°C or higher 99.5%
21°C <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
100%
22°C or higher 99.5%
21°C <1%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
12°C or below
$125 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$123 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$118 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$126 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$118 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$119 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$188 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$319 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer warmth and high humidity across Shandong province keep overnight radiative cooling minimal in Jinan, with official forecasts and regional models projecting minimum temperatures of 25–27°C on August 23 under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. This aligns with late-August climatology showing typical diurnal ranges of 10–14°C and historical minima rarely falling below 24°C absent strong frontal passages. The 99.5% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric conditions and limited model spread. An unexpected clear-sky radiative cooling event or rapid advection of cooler air could theoretically lower readings, though current guidance shows negligible likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,606Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer warmth and high humidity across Shandong province keep overnight radiative cooling minimal in Jinan, with official forecasts and regional models projecting minimum temperatures of 25–27°C on August 23 under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. This aligns with late-August climatology showing typical diurnal ranges of 10–14°C and historical minima rarely falling below 24°C absent strong frontal passages. The 99.5% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric conditions and limited model spread. An unexpected clear-sky radiative cooling event or rapid advection of cooler air could theoretically lower readings, though current guidance shows negligible likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,606Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent summer warmth and high humidity across Shandong province keep overnight radiative cooling minimal in Jinan, with official forecasts and regional models projecting minimum temperatures of 25–27°C on August 23 under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. This aligns with late-August climatology showing typical diurnal ranges of 10–14°C and historical minima rarely falling below 24°C absent strong frontal passages. The 99.5% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric conditions and limited model spread. An unexpected clear-sky radiative cooling event or rapid advection of cooler air could theoretically lower readings, though current guidance shows negligible likelihood of such shifts before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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