Recent official forecasts from Turkish meteorological sources and international models indicate mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Istanbul on September 6, supporting a minimum temperature near 20–22 °C as the most probable range. This aligns with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 17–21 °C, reflecting model consensus on radiative cooling under high pressure while accounting for residual uncertainty from urban heat-island effects, slight variations in dew-point depression, and potential micro-scale wind shifts that could alter the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Historical September climatology places typical minima near 17 °C, yet the current warm anomaly and stable steering pattern explain why probabilities for 13 °C or below remain subdued at 22 %. Updated model runs and local station observations expected overnight will provide the final resolution data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 6?
14°C 50%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
22°C 50%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
13°C or below
44%
14°C
50%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
26%
22°C
50%
23°C or higher
44%
14°C 50%
15°C 50%
16°C 50%
22°C 50%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Vol.
44%
14°C
$0 Vol.
50%
15°C
$0 Vol.
50%
16°C
$0 Vol.
50%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
27%
19°C
$0 Vol.
27%
20°C
$0 Vol.
27%
21°C
$10 Vol.
26%
22°C
$0 Vol.
50%
23°C or higher
$0 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Turkish meteorological sources and international models indicate mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Istanbul on September 6, supporting a minimum temperature near 20–22 °C as the most probable range. This aligns with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 17–21 °C, reflecting model consensus on radiative cooling under high pressure while accounting for residual uncertainty from urban heat-island effects, slight variations in dew-point depression, and potential micro-scale wind shifts that could alter the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Historical September climatology places typical minima near 17 °C, yet the current warm anomaly and stable steering pattern explain why probabilities for 13 °C or below remain subdued at 22 %. Updated model runs and local station observations expected overnight will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$10Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Turkish meteorological sources and international models indicate mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Istanbul on September 6, supporting a minimum temperature near 20–22 °C as the most probable range. This aligns with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 17–21 °C, reflecting model consensus on radiative cooling under high pressure while accounting for residual uncertainty from urban heat-island effects, slight variations in dew-point depression, and potential micro-scale wind shifts that could alter the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Historical September climatology places typical minima near 17 °C, yet the current warm anomaly and stable steering pattern explain why probabilities for 13 °C or below remain subdued at 22 %. Updated model runs and local station observations expected overnight will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Turkish meteorological sources and international models indicate mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Istanbul on September 6, supporting a minimum temperature near 20–22 °C as the most probable range. This aligns with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 17–21 °C, reflecting model consensus on radiative cooling under high pressure while accounting for residual uncertainty from urban heat-island effects, slight variations in dew-point depression, and potential micro-scale wind shifts that could alter the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Historical September climatology places typical minima near 17 °C, yet the current warm anomaly and stable steering pattern explain why probabilities for 13 °C or below remain subdued at 22 %. Updated model runs and local station observations expected overnight will provide the final resolution data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan