Skip to main content

Untuk trading di AS, kunjungi polymarket.us

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?

Sep 4

Sep 5

Sep 6

Sep 7

Sep 4

Sep 5

Sep 6

Sep 7

27°C 50%

26°C 26%

28°C 16%

25°C 7%

Polymarket
BARU

27°C 50%

26°C 26%

28°C 16%

25°C 7%

Polymarket
BARU

22°C or below

$27 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$17 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$17 Vol.

1%

25°C

$442 Vol.

7%

26°C

$939 Vol.

26%

27°C

$1,617 Vol.

50%

28°C

$908 Vol.

16%

29°C

$459 Vol.

6%

30°C

$17 Vol.

<1%

31°C

$27 Vol.

<1%

32°C or higher

$27 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Current forecasts from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory-aligned models and WeatherBug indicate overnight lows near 24–25°C for September 6, 2026, with daytime highs around 27–29°C amid partly cloudy skies and a 50–60% chance of thunderstorms.** Light northerly to easterly winds and high humidity (near 80–90%) support modest radiative cooling overnight, consistent with early-September climatology where the 1991–2020 normal daily minimum is approximately 24.6°C. Trader positioning favoring 26–27°C as the most likely daily minimum reflects recent observational data showing persistent warmth (overnight readings holding near 27°C on September 5) and model consensus that any cooling from showers will be limited rather than pronounced. Higher outcomes (28°C+) carry lower implied probability because ongoing moisture and cloud cover reduce the chance of stronger nighttime drops, while sub-25°C scenarios remain possible only if clearer skies develop or a brief northerly surge arrives—neither of which is strongly signaled in the latest runs. Upcoming Hong Kong Observatory forecast updates and real-time temperature observations on September 6 will provide the decisive data for market resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,500
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Current forecasts from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory-aligned models and WeatherBug indicate overnight lows near 24–25°C for September 6, 2026, with daytime highs around 27–29°C amid partly cloudy skies and a 50–60% chance of thunderstorms.** Light northerly to easterly winds and high humidity (near 80–90%) support modest radiative cooling overnight, consistent with early-September climatology where the 1991–2020 normal daily minimum is approximately 24.6°C. Trader positioning favoring 26–27°C as the most likely daily minimum reflects recent observational data showing persistent warmth (overnight readings holding near 27°C on September 5) and model consensus that any cooling from showers will be limited rather than pronounced. Higher outcomes (28°C+) carry lower implied probability because ongoing moisture and cloud cover reduce the chance of stronger nighttime drops, while sub-25°C scenarios remain possible only if clearer skies develop or a brief northerly surge arrives—neither of which is strongly signaled in the latest runs. Upcoming Hong Kong Observatory forecast updates and real-time temperature observations on September 6 will provide the decisive data for market resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,500
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Terkait

icon for Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 7?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 7?

39%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 5?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 5?

98%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 4?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 4?

99%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "27°C" di 50%, diikuti oleh "26°C" di 26%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 50¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 50% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Sep 4, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?" adalah "27°C" di 50%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 50% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "26°C" di 26%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.