**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on September 5, 2026, with 97.5% implied probability.** Official Hong Kong Observatory readings through the afternoon show overnight and recent minimums clustered at 27.0–27.1°C at the main station, with similar values across urban and airport sites. Forecasts issued that morning projected a daily range of 27–32°C under light winds, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers—conditions that limit radiative cooling overnight. Historical September baselines and model consensus reinforce this narrow band. A realistic shift below 27°C would require clearer skies and stronger nocturnal cooling than current observations or guidance indicate, while any upward revision to 28°C or higher appears improbable given sustained readings near the threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 5?
27°C 98%
26°C 2%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
$33,054 Vol.
$33,054 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
98%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
27°C 98%
26°C 2%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
$33,054 Vol.
$33,054 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
$158 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$148 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,520 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,491 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,233 Vol.
1%
26°C
$9,440 Vol.
2%
27°C
$12,195 Vol.
98%
28°C
$1,166 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$389 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on September 5, 2026, with 97.5% implied probability.** Official Hong Kong Observatory readings through the afternoon show overnight and recent minimums clustered at 27.0–27.1°C at the main station, with similar values across urban and airport sites. Forecasts issued that morning projected a daily range of 27–32°C under light winds, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers—conditions that limit radiative cooling overnight. Historical September baselines and model consensus reinforce this narrow band. A realistic shift below 27°C would require clearer skies and stronger nocturnal cooling than current observations or guidance indicate, while any upward revision to 28°C or higher appears improbable given sustained readings near the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$33,054Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on September 5, 2026, with 97.5% implied probability.** Official Hong Kong Observatory readings through the afternoon show overnight and recent minimums clustered at 27.0–27.1°C at the main station, with similar values across urban and airport sites. Forecasts issued that morning projected a daily range of 27–32°C under light winds, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers—conditions that limit radiative cooling overnight. Historical September baselines and model consensus reinforce this narrow band. A realistic shift below 27°C would require clearer skies and stronger nocturnal cooling than current observations or guidance indicate, while any upward revision to 28°C or higher appears improbable given sustained readings near the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$33,054Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on September 5, 2026, with 97.5% implied probability.** Official Hong Kong Observatory readings through the afternoon show overnight and recent minimums clustered at 27.0–27.1°C at the main station, with similar values across urban and airport sites. Forecasts issued that morning projected a daily range of 27–32°C under light winds, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers—conditions that limit radiative cooling overnight. Historical September baselines and model consensus reinforce this narrow band. A realistic shift below 27°C would require clearer skies and stronger nocturnal cooling than current observations or guidance indicate, while any upward revision to 28°C or higher appears improbable given sustained readings near the threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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