**Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and major weather models point to a cool, rainy day in Tokyo on September 6, with daytime highs likely between 23–25°C.** Persistent frontal activity and northerly winds are expected to maintain widespread cloud cover and heavy precipitation, limiting solar heating and keeping temperatures well below the early-September climatological average near 29°C. Multiple sources, including JMA guidance and ensemble outputs, converge on this range, with minimal spread suggesting low uncertainty in the maximum. Trader consensus, reflected in the 38.5% implied probability for 24°C and 24.5% for 25°C, aligns closely with this evidence-based outlook, while lower probabilities for 26°C or above indicate limited upside potential absent a rapid model shift.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 6?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 6?
24°C 38%
23°C 25%
25°C 24%
26°C 7%
BARU
$12,977 Vol.
BARU
$12,977 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
25%
24°C
38%
25°C
24%
26°C
7%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 38%
23°C 25%
25°C 24%
26°C 7%
BARU
$12,977 Vol.
BARU
$12,977 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
19°C or below
$1,245 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,076 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$289 Vol.
2%
22°C
$1,356 Vol.
4%
23°C
$2,117 Vol.
25%
24°C
$1,112 Vol.
38%
25°C
$2,131 Vol.
24%
26°C
$1,777 Vol.
7%
27°C
$649 Vol.
3%
28°C
$501 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$723 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and major weather models point to a cool, rainy day in Tokyo on September 6, with daytime highs likely between 23–25°C.** Persistent frontal activity and northerly winds are expected to maintain widespread cloud cover and heavy precipitation, limiting solar heating and keeping temperatures well below the early-September climatological average near 29°C. Multiple sources, including JMA guidance and ensemble outputs, converge on this range, with minimal spread suggesting low uncertainty in the maximum. Trader consensus, reflected in the 38.5% implied probability for 24°C and 24.5% for 25°C, aligns closely with this evidence-based outlook, while lower probabilities for 26°C or above indicate limited upside potential absent a rapid model shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$12,977Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and major weather models point to a cool, rainy day in Tokyo on September 6, with daytime highs likely between 23–25°C.** Persistent frontal activity and northerly winds are expected to maintain widespread cloud cover and heavy precipitation, limiting solar heating and keeping temperatures well below the early-September climatological average near 29°C. Multiple sources, including JMA guidance and ensemble outputs, converge on this range, with minimal spread suggesting low uncertainty in the maximum. Trader consensus, reflected in the 38.5% implied probability for 24°C and 24.5% for 25°C, aligns closely with this evidence-based outlook, while lower probabilities for 26°C or above indicate limited upside potential absent a rapid model shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,977Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and major weather models point to a cool, rainy day in Tokyo on September 6, with daytime highs likely between 23–25°C.** Persistent frontal activity and northerly winds are expected to maintain widespread cloud cover and heavy precipitation, limiting solar heating and keeping temperatures well below the early-September climatological average near 29°C. Multiple sources, including JMA guidance and ensemble outputs, converge on this range, with minimal spread suggesting low uncertainty in the maximum. Trader consensus, reflected in the 38.5% implied probability for 24°C and 24.5% for 25°C, aligns closely with this evidence-based outlook, while lower probabilities for 26°C or above indicate limited upside potential absent a rapid model shift.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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