Short-term forecast uncertainty from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models centers trader consensus on 29–30°C highs for Seoul/Incheon on August 20, with cloud cover, light winds, and 20–30% precipitation odds limiting daytime radiative heating. Late-August climatology shows typical maxima near 28–30°C amid seasonal cooling and monsoon moisture, while recent ensemble runs indicate modest potential for 31–33°C if skies clear more than expected. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific spread, distinguishing outcomes primarily by subtle differences in boundary-layer stability and insolation rather than major synoptic shifts. Updated KMA guidance and model consensus ahead of the date will likely refine the range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 20?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 20?
30°C 34%
29°C 32%
28°C 14%
31°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 20, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
14%
29°C
32%
30°C
34%
31°C
14%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 34%
29°C 32%
28°C 14%
31°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 20, 2026
23°C or below
$296 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$289 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$203 Vol.
1%
26°C
$83 Vol.
1%
27°C
$14 Vol.
4%
28°C
$77 Vol.
14%
29°C
$180 Vol.
32%
30°C
$138 Vol.
34%
31°C
$80 Vol.
14%
32°C
$76 Vol.
5%
33°C or higher
$20 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models centers trader consensus on 29–30°C highs for Seoul/Incheon on August 20, with cloud cover, light winds, and 20–30% precipitation odds limiting daytime radiative heating. Late-August climatology shows typical maxima near 28–30°C amid seasonal cooling and monsoon moisture, while recent ensemble runs indicate modest potential for 31–33°C if skies clear more than expected. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific spread, distinguishing outcomes primarily by subtle differences in boundary-layer stability and insolation rather than major synoptic shifts. Updated KMA guidance and model consensus ahead of the date will likely refine the range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,456Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models centers trader consensus on 29–30°C highs for Seoul/Incheon on August 20, with cloud cover, light winds, and 20–30% precipitation odds limiting daytime radiative heating. Late-August climatology shows typical maxima near 28–30°C amid seasonal cooling and monsoon moisture, while recent ensemble runs indicate modest potential for 31–33°C if skies clear more than expected. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific spread, distinguishing outcomes primarily by subtle differences in boundary-layer stability and insolation rather than major synoptic shifts. Updated KMA guidance and model consensus ahead of the date will likely refine the range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,456Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecast uncertainty from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models centers trader consensus on 29–30°C highs for Seoul/Incheon on August 20, with cloud cover, light winds, and 20–30% precipitation odds limiting daytime radiative heating. Late-August climatology shows typical maxima near 28–30°C amid seasonal cooling and monsoon moisture, while recent ensemble runs indicate modest potential for 31–33°C if skies clear more than expected. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific spread, distinguishing outcomes primarily by subtle differences in boundary-layer stability and insolation rather than major synoptic shifts. Updated KMA guidance and model consensus ahead of the date will likely refine the range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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