Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a cooling trend for Paris on August 19 driven by incoming maritime air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This has shifted trader consensus toward a daily maximum near 23–25°C, with 24°C holding the highest implied probability at 25.5%. Key differentiating factors include the strength of the Atlantic flow, which suppresses radiative warming, and the timing of any convective activity that could further cap temperatures below seasonal norms of 25–27°C. Model runs continue to show modest spread around these values, leaving room for small revisions before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on August 19?
24°C 26%
23°C 25%
27°C 13%
25°C 12%
$26,544 Vol.
$26,544 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
8%
23°C
25%
24°C
26%
25°C
12%
26°C
7%
27°C
13%
28°C
7%
29°C or higher
6%
24°C 26%
23°C 25%
27°C 13%
25°C 12%
$26,544 Vol.
$26,544 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
8%
23°C
25%
24°C
26%
25°C
12%
26°C
7%
27°C
13%
28°C
7%
29°C or higher
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a cooling trend for Paris on August 19 driven by incoming maritime air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This has shifted trader consensus toward a daily maximum near 23–25°C, with 24°C holding the highest implied probability at 25.5%. Key differentiating factors include the strength of the Atlantic flow, which suppresses radiative warming, and the timing of any convective activity that could further cap temperatures below seasonal norms of 25–27°C. Model runs continue to show modest spread around these values, leaving room for small revisions before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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