Recent Météo-France and European model consensus points to a Paris maximum of 26–27°C on August 18, 2026, under stable high pressure with modest southerly warm-air advection and partly cloudy skies that limit strong daytime heating. These conditions follow a mid-August heatwave, keeping values near seasonal norms rather than extremes. Official forecasts range from 27°C (BBC, timeanddate) to 29°C (Met Office), introducing modest uncertainty from cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26°C and 27°C, reflecting this narrow forecast envelope and low odds for significant deviation. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on August 18?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 18?
26°C 43%
27°C 26%
25°C or below 20%
28°C 6%
BARU
$48,330 Vol.
BARU
$48,330 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
25°C or below
20%
26°C
43%
27°C
26%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
26°C 43%
27°C 26%
25°C or below 20%
28°C 6%
BARU
$48,330 Vol.
BARU
$48,330 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
25°C or below
$8,252 Vol.
20%
26°C
$9,262 Vol.
43%
27°C
$9,353 Vol.
26%
28°C
$9,367 Vol.
6%
29°C
$5,963 Vol.
3%
30°C
$3,045 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,544 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$330 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$452 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$452 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and European model consensus points to a Paris maximum of 26–27°C on August 18, 2026, under stable high pressure with modest southerly warm-air advection and partly cloudy skies that limit strong daytime heating. These conditions follow a mid-August heatwave, keeping values near seasonal norms rather than extremes. Official forecasts range from 27°C (BBC, timeanddate) to 29°C (Met Office), introducing modest uncertainty from cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26°C and 27°C, reflecting this narrow forecast envelope and low odds for significant deviation. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$48,330Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and European model consensus points to a Paris maximum of 26–27°C on August 18, 2026, under stable high pressure with modest southerly warm-air advection and partly cloudy skies that limit strong daytime heating. These conditions follow a mid-August heatwave, keeping values near seasonal norms rather than extremes. Official forecasts range from 27°C (BBC, timeanddate) to 29°C (Met Office), introducing modest uncertainty from cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26°C and 27°C, reflecting this narrow forecast envelope and low odds for significant deviation. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$48,330Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and European model consensus points to a Paris maximum of 26–27°C on August 18, 2026, under stable high pressure with modest southerly warm-air advection and partly cloudy skies that limit strong daytime heating. These conditions follow a mid-August heatwave, keeping values near seasonal norms rather than extremes. Official forecasts range from 27°C (BBC, timeanddate) to 29°C (Met Office), introducing modest uncertainty from cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26°C and 27°C, reflecting this narrow forecast envelope and low odds for significant deviation. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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