Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for San Francisco points to persistent marine layer stratus and moderate onshore flow moderating coastal temperatures, positioning daily highs near 68–72°F on August 19. This aligns with typical August climatology at San Francisco International Airport, where average maxima hover around 70°F, yet short-range models show limited inland heat intrusion from the marine inversion that caps afternoon warming. Minor forecast spreads allow plausible outcomes in the 68–73°F range depending on fog clearance timing and wind patterns, while probabilities for 80°F+ remain low absent anomalous ridging. Traders weigh these variables against historical baselines, with new model runs and evening observations likely to refine consensus ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 19?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 19?
70-71°F 32%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 24%
74-75°F 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
65°F or below
5%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
32%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
1%
70-71°F 32%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 24%
74-75°F 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
65°F or below
$1 Vol.
5%
66-67°F
$5 Vol.
10%
68-69°F
$6 Vol.
24%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
32%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
29%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
12%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
7%
78-79°F
$10 Vol.
6%
80-81°F
$10 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$5 Vol.
1%
84°F or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for San Francisco points to persistent marine layer stratus and moderate onshore flow moderating coastal temperatures, positioning daily highs near 68–72°F on August 19. This aligns with typical August climatology at San Francisco International Airport, where average maxima hover around 70°F, yet short-range models show limited inland heat intrusion from the marine inversion that caps afternoon warming. Minor forecast spreads allow plausible outcomes in the 68–73°F range depending on fog clearance timing and wind patterns, while probabilities for 80°F+ remain low absent anomalous ridging. Traders weigh these variables against historical baselines, with new model runs and evening observations likely to refine consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$42Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for San Francisco points to persistent marine layer stratus and moderate onshore flow moderating coastal temperatures, positioning daily highs near 68–72°F on August 19. This aligns with typical August climatology at San Francisco International Airport, where average maxima hover around 70°F, yet short-range models show limited inland heat intrusion from the marine inversion that caps afternoon warming. Minor forecast spreads allow plausible outcomes in the 68–73°F range depending on fog clearance timing and wind patterns, while probabilities for 80°F+ remain low absent anomalous ridging. Traders weigh these variables against historical baselines, with new model runs and evening observations likely to refine consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$42Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for San Francisco points to persistent marine layer stratus and moderate onshore flow moderating coastal temperatures, positioning daily highs near 68–72°F on August 19. This aligns with typical August climatology at San Francisco International Airport, where average maxima hover around 70°F, yet short-range models show limited inland heat intrusion from the marine inversion that caps afternoon warming. Minor forecast spreads allow plausible outcomes in the 68–73°F range depending on fog clearance timing and wind patterns, while probabilities for 80°F+ remain low absent anomalous ridging. Traders weigh these variables against historical baselines, with new model runs and evening observations likely to refine consensus ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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