**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 18 heavily favors 23°C (70% implied probability) because current forecasts show persistent overcast skies and heavy rainfall limiting solar heating and afternoon boundary-layer warming.** Multiple models indicate a maximum near 23–25°C amid monsoon moisture and a stable pressure pattern that favors widespread cloud cover rather than clear-sky insolation typical for mid-August in the Sichuan Basin. This produces cooler outcomes than seasonal averages of 30–34°C, with the tight clustering around 23–24°C reflecting uncertainty in rainfall timing and local topographic effects on temperature. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration continues to highlight rain chances above 70%, reinforcing the market's emphasis on suppressed maxima while leaving modest room for a 24°C reading if breaks in cloud cover occur.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 18?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 18?
23°C 60%
24°C 24%
25°C 6%
26°C 1.7%
BARU
$48,788 Vol.
BARU
$48,788 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
49%
24°C
33%
25°C
6%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 60%
24°C 24%
25°C 6%
26°C 1.7%
BARU
$48,788 Vol.
BARU
$48,788 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
20°C or below
$630 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,804 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5,720 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$9,037 Vol.
49%
24°C
$6,952 Vol.
33%
25°C
$2,638 Vol.
6%
26°C
$3,546 Vol.
2%
27°C
$4,543 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,196 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,581 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$7,142 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 18 heavily favors 23°C (70% implied probability) because current forecasts show persistent overcast skies and heavy rainfall limiting solar heating and afternoon boundary-layer warming.**
Multiple models indicate a maximum near 23–25°C amid monsoon moisture and a stable pressure pattern that favors widespread cloud cover rather than clear-sky insolation typical for mid-August in the Sichuan Basin. This produces cooler outcomes than seasonal averages of 30–34°C, with the tight clustering around 23–24°C reflecting uncertainty in rainfall timing and local topographic effects on temperature. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration continues to highlight rain chances above 70%, reinforcing the market's emphasis on suppressed maxima while leaving modest room for a 24°C reading if breaks in cloud cover occur.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$48,788Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 18 heavily favors 23°C (70% implied probability) because current forecasts show persistent overcast skies and heavy rainfall limiting solar heating and afternoon boundary-layer warming.**
Multiple models indicate a maximum near 23–25°C amid monsoon moisture and a stable pressure pattern that favors widespread cloud cover rather than clear-sky insolation typical for mid-August in the Sichuan Basin. This produces cooler outcomes than seasonal averages of 30–34°C, with the tight clustering around 23–24°C reflecting uncertainty in rainfall timing and local topographic effects on temperature. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration continues to highlight rain chances above 70%, reinforcing the market's emphasis on suppressed maxima while leaving modest room for a 24°C reading if breaks in cloud cover occur.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$48,788Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 18 heavily favors 23°C (70% implied probability) because current forecasts show persistent overcast skies and heavy rainfall limiting solar heating and afternoon boundary-layer warming.** Multiple models indicate a maximum near 23–25°C amid monsoon moisture and a stable pressure pattern that favors widespread cloud cover rather than clear-sky insolation typical for mid-August in the Sichuan Basin. This produces cooler outcomes than seasonal averages of 30–34°C, with the tight clustering around 23–24°C reflecting uncertainty in rainfall timing and local topographic effects on temperature. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration continues to highlight rain chances above 70%, reinforcing the market's emphasis on suppressed maxima while leaving modest room for a 24°C reading if breaks in cloud cover occur.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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