Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations, including Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), recorded a daily maximum in the 76–77°F range on August 17, 2026, aligning with marine layer stabilization and gradual clearing that suppressed typical August afternoon heating near 84°F normals. This consensus across verified reports drove the market-implied probability to 100% for that bin, reflecting traders’ reliance on real-time agency data over model projections. Historical analogs show similar late-summer patterns when onshore flow limits inland warming. Revisions to final NWS summaries or use of an alternate station could theoretically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary readings stabilize.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 17?
76-77°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$82,357 Vol.
$82,357 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$82,357 Vol.
$82,357 Vol.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations, including Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), recorded a daily maximum in the 76–77°F range on August 17, 2026, aligning with marine layer stabilization and gradual clearing that suppressed typical August afternoon heating near 84°F normals. This consensus across verified reports drove the market-implied probability to 100% for that bin, reflecting traders’ reliance on real-time agency data over model projections. Historical analogs show similar late-summer patterns when onshore flow limits inland warming. Revisions to final NWS summaries or use of an alternate station could theoretically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary readings stabilize.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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