Forecast models from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international sources converge on a daily maximum near 31–32°C for August 18, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, variable cloud cover, and isolated thunderstorms that suppress further warming. These factors align with Shanghai’s climatological August average high of roughly 31–32°C, where convective activity and moisture limit extreme peaks. Recent model runs show no significant heatwave or clear-sky amplification, keeping 33°C or higher probabilities low while supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C (67.5%) and 32°C (17.5%). Updated guidance closer to resolution will refine exact thresholds amid ongoing precipitation chances.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 18?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 18?
31°C 65%
32°C 28%
30°C 6%
33°C 2.6%
BARU
$57,868 Vol.
BARU
$57,868 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
6%
31°C
65%
32°C
28%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 65%
32°C 28%
30°C 6%
33°C 2.6%
BARU
$57,868 Vol.
BARU
$57,868 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
26°C or below
$314 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$181 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$7,038 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$12,059 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$11,840 Vol.
6%
31°C
$7,511 Vol.
65%
32°C
$9,525 Vol.
28%
33°C
$4,972 Vol.
3%
34°C
$3,800 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,145 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$175 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international sources converge on a daily maximum near 31–32°C for August 18, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, variable cloud cover, and isolated thunderstorms that suppress further warming. These factors align with Shanghai’s climatological August average high of roughly 31–32°C, where convective activity and moisture limit extreme peaks. Recent model runs show no significant heatwave or clear-sky amplification, keeping 33°C or higher probabilities low while supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C (67.5%) and 32°C (17.5%). Updated guidance closer to resolution will refine exact thresholds amid ongoing precipitation chances.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$57,868Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international sources converge on a daily maximum near 31–32°C for August 18, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, variable cloud cover, and isolated thunderstorms that suppress further warming. These factors align with Shanghai’s climatological August average high of roughly 31–32°C, where convective activity and moisture limit extreme peaks. Recent model runs show no significant heatwave or clear-sky amplification, keeping 33°C or higher probabilities low while supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C (67.5%) and 32°C (17.5%). Updated guidance closer to resolution will refine exact thresholds amid ongoing precipitation chances.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$57,868Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international sources converge on a daily maximum near 31–32°C for August 18, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, variable cloud cover, and isolated thunderstorms that suppress further warming. These factors align with Shanghai’s climatological August average high of roughly 31–32°C, where convective activity and moisture limit extreme peaks. Recent model runs show no significant heatwave or clear-sky amplification, keeping 33°C or higher probabilities low while supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C (67.5%) and 32°C (17.5%). Updated guidance closer to resolution will refine exact thresholds amid ongoing precipitation chances.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan