Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai point to a maximum temperature near 31–32°C on August 19, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high-pressure influence and typical East Asian monsoon conditions that support afternoon heating under variable cloud cover. Historical climatology for mid-to-late August shows average daily highs of 30–33°C with high humidity, and current model runs align closely without indications of significant cooling from frontal passages or intensification from tropical systems. Trader consensus on these central outcomes reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, where small shifts in insolation or convective activity could tip the daily peak by 1°C. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will provide the key data points for any adjustment in implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 19?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 19?
31°C 46%
32°C 32%
30°C 16%
33°C 5%
BARU
$12,609 Vol.
BARU
$12,609 Vol.
Aug 19, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
16%
31°C
46%
32°C
32%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 46%
32°C 32%
30°C 16%
33°C 5%
BARU
$12,609 Vol.
BARU
$12,609 Vol.
Aug 19, 2026
25°C or below
$221 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$142 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$473 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,298 Vol.
2%
29°C
$1,146 Vol.
5%
30°C
$3,443 Vol.
16%
31°C
$2,211 Vol.
46%
32°C
$1,736 Vol.
32%
33°C
$700 Vol.
5%
34°C
$965 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$273 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai point to a maximum temperature near 31–32°C on August 19, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high-pressure influence and typical East Asian monsoon conditions that support afternoon heating under variable cloud cover. Historical climatology for mid-to-late August shows average daily highs of 30–33°C with high humidity, and current model runs align closely without indications of significant cooling from frontal passages or intensification from tropical systems. Trader consensus on these central outcomes reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, where small shifts in insolation or convective activity could tip the daily peak by 1°C. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will provide the key data points for any adjustment in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$12,609Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai point to a maximum temperature near 31–32°C on August 19, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high-pressure influence and typical East Asian monsoon conditions that support afternoon heating under variable cloud cover. Historical climatology for mid-to-late August shows average daily highs of 30–33°C with high humidity, and current model runs align closely without indications of significant cooling from frontal passages or intensification from tropical systems. Trader consensus on these central outcomes reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, where small shifts in insolation or convective activity could tip the daily peak by 1°C. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will provide the key data points for any adjustment in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,609Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Shanghai point to a maximum temperature near 31–32°C on August 19, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high-pressure influence and typical East Asian monsoon conditions that support afternoon heating under variable cloud cover. Historical climatology for mid-to-late August shows average daily highs of 30–33°C with high humidity, and current model runs align closely without indications of significant cooling from frontal passages or intensification from tropical systems. Trader consensus on these central outcomes reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance, where small shifts in insolation or convective activity could tip the daily peak by 1°C. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours will provide the key data points for any adjustment in implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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