Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 25°C minimum for Seoul-Incheon on August 20 under mostly cloudy skies, 30% morning precipitation chance, and light easterly winds that restrict overnight radiative cooling. Persistent summer humidity and regional cloud cover from lingering monsoon influences keep temperatures near the seasonal baseline of 23–25°C, aligning with the market’s leading 40% implied probability for 25°C and supporting nearby 24–26°C outcomes. Recent ensemble model runs show limited variability in steering patterns or frontal passages over the next 48 hours, reducing odds for cooler readings below 23°C or warmer extremes above 27°C absent unexpected clear skies. Traders are weighting this official guidance heavily ahead of final overnight observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 20?
25°C 45%
26°C 26%
24°C 24%
27°C 10%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
6%
23°C
9%
24°C
24%
25°C
45%
26°C
26%
27°C
10%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
25°C 45%
26°C 26%
24°C 24%
27°C 10%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
6%
23°C
9%
24°C
24%
25°C
45%
26°C
26%
27°C
10%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 25°C minimum for Seoul-Incheon on August 20 under mostly cloudy skies, 30% morning precipitation chance, and light easterly winds that restrict overnight radiative cooling. Persistent summer humidity and regional cloud cover from lingering monsoon influences keep temperatures near the seasonal baseline of 23–25°C, aligning with the market’s leading 40% implied probability for 25°C and supporting nearby 24–26°C outcomes. Recent ensemble model runs show limited variability in steering patterns or frontal passages over the next 48 hours, reducing odds for cooler readings below 23°C or warmer extremes above 27°C absent unexpected clear skies. Traders are weighting this official guidance heavily ahead of final overnight observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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