Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum temperature of 33–35°C for Chongqing on August 18, 2026, aligning closely with market-implied probabilities favoring 34°C (37.5%), 33°C (26%), and 35°C (22.5%). As a subtropical “furnace city” ringed by mountains that trap heat and moisture from the Yangtze and Jialing rivers, Chongqing typically sees August highs of 33–36°C with high humidity. Current model consensus points to light rain or thundery showers on the 18th, which may limit daytime heating and keep peaks below the seasonal extreme. These conditions, combined with typical late-summer monsoon influences, explain why traders assign lower odds to 36°C or higher while viewing 33–34°C as the most probable outcomes ahead of the next forecast updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 18?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 18?
34°C 37%
33°C 25%
35°C 23%
36°C 8%
BARU
$13,740 Vol.
BARU
$13,740 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
31°C or below
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
25%
34°C
37%
35°C
23%
36°C
8%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 37%
33°C 25%
35°C 23%
36°C 8%
BARU
$13,740 Vol.
BARU
$13,740 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
31°C or below
$2,237 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,509 Vol.
6%
33°C
$1,572 Vol.
25%
34°C
$2,137 Vol.
37%
35°C
$1,041 Vol.
23%
36°C
$611 Vol.
8%
37°C
$1,482 Vol.
2%
38°C
$906 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$1,320 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$697 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$228 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum temperature of 33–35°C for Chongqing on August 18, 2026, aligning closely with market-implied probabilities favoring 34°C (37.5%), 33°C (26%), and 35°C (22.5%). As a subtropical “furnace city” ringed by mountains that trap heat and moisture from the Yangtze and Jialing rivers, Chongqing typically sees August highs of 33–36°C with high humidity. Current model consensus points to light rain or thundery showers on the 18th, which may limit daytime heating and keep peaks below the seasonal extreme. These conditions, combined with typical late-summer monsoon influences, explain why traders assign lower odds to 36°C or higher while viewing 33–34°C as the most probable outcomes ahead of the next forecast updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$13,740Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum temperature of 33–35°C for Chongqing on August 18, 2026, aligning closely with market-implied probabilities favoring 34°C (37.5%), 33°C (26%), and 35°C (22.5%). As a subtropical “furnace city” ringed by mountains that trap heat and moisture from the Yangtze and Jialing rivers, Chongqing typically sees August highs of 33–36°C with high humidity. Current model consensus points to light rain or thundery showers on the 18th, which may limit daytime heating and keep peaks below the seasonal extreme. These conditions, combined with typical late-summer monsoon influences, explain why traders assign lower odds to 36°C or higher while viewing 33–34°C as the most probable outcomes ahead of the next forecast updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,740Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum temperature of 33–35°C for Chongqing on August 18, 2026, aligning closely with market-implied probabilities favoring 34°C (37.5%), 33°C (26%), and 35°C (22.5%). As a subtropical “furnace city” ringed by mountains that trap heat and moisture from the Yangtze and Jialing rivers, Chongqing typically sees August highs of 33–36°C with high humidity. Current model consensus points to light rain or thundery showers on the 18th, which may limit daytime heating and keep peaks below the seasonal extreme. These conditions, combined with typical late-summer monsoon influences, explain why traders assign lower odds to 36°C or higher while viewing 33–34°C as the most probable outcomes ahead of the next forecast updates.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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