Recent forecast model runs and observational data highlight persistent subtropical moisture and afternoon convective development as the main drivers keeping trader focus tightly split between 36°C and 37°C implied probabilities. High humidity and weak steering flow favor scattered thunderstorms that can cap peak heating by 1–2°C through cloud shading and evaporative cooling, while clearer intervals in the Pearl River Delta allow brief surges toward 37°C. Historical August climatology shows typical maxima near 33–34°C, yet recent ensemble guidance from regional models indicates modest warming potential ahead of the August 19 observation window. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Guangzhou’s primary station, with any shift in precipitation timing likely to rebalance the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 19?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 19?
36°C 41%
37°C 39%
38°C 11%
35°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
8%
36°C
41%
37°C
39%
38°C
11%
39°C
3%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 41%
37°C 39%
38°C 11%
35°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
30°C or below
$191 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$541 Vol.
1%
32°C
$424 Vol.
1%
33°C
$264 Vol.
2%
34°C
$255 Vol.
3%
35°C
$226 Vol.
8%
36°C
$777 Vol.
41%
37°C
$1,128 Vol.
39%
38°C
$714 Vol.
11%
39°C
$312 Vol.
3%
40°C or higher
$672 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs and observational data highlight persistent subtropical moisture and afternoon convective development as the main drivers keeping trader focus tightly split between 36°C and 37°C implied probabilities. High humidity and weak steering flow favor scattered thunderstorms that can cap peak heating by 1–2°C through cloud shading and evaporative cooling, while clearer intervals in the Pearl River Delta allow brief surges toward 37°C. Historical August climatology shows typical maxima near 33–34°C, yet recent ensemble guidance from regional models indicates modest warming potential ahead of the August 19 observation window. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Guangzhou’s primary station, with any shift in precipitation timing likely to rebalance the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$5,503Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs and observational data highlight persistent subtropical moisture and afternoon convective development as the main drivers keeping trader focus tightly split between 36°C and 37°C implied probabilities. High humidity and weak steering flow favor scattered thunderstorms that can cap peak heating by 1–2°C through cloud shading and evaporative cooling, while clearer intervals in the Pearl River Delta allow brief surges toward 37°C. Historical August climatology shows typical maxima near 33–34°C, yet recent ensemble guidance from regional models indicates modest warming potential ahead of the August 19 observation window. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Guangzhou’s primary station, with any shift in precipitation timing likely to rebalance the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,503Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs and observational data highlight persistent subtropical moisture and afternoon convective development as the main drivers keeping trader focus tightly split between 36°C and 37°C implied probabilities. High humidity and weak steering flow favor scattered thunderstorms that can cap peak heating by 1–2°C through cloud shading and evaporative cooling, while clearer intervals in the Pearl River Delta allow brief surges toward 37°C. Historical August climatology shows typical maxima near 33–34°C, yet recent ensemble guidance from regional models indicates modest warming potential ahead of the August 19 observation window. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Guangzhou’s primary station, with any shift in precipitation timing likely to rebalance the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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