**Forecast models from sources like GFS and regional analyses point to peak afternoon temperatures in Madrid on September 6 reaching 35–36°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, southerly flow, and high pressure, which underpins the near-even market split between 36°C and 37°C.** These conditions align with an ongoing warm spell across central Spain, where recent days have seen highs in the mid-30s amid dry air and light winds that enhance daytime heating without significant cloud suppression. Historical context shows September 6 averages around 28.7°C with a record of 38.9°C from 2016, but current guidance lacks the extreme setup needed for 38°C or higher. Minor model differences in exact wind shifts or residual moisture could tip the daily maximum by 1°C either way, keeping trader sentiment balanced ahead of final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on September 6?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 6?
37°C 48%
36°C 44%
38°C 9%
35°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
44%
37°C
48%
38°C
9%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
37°C 48%
36°C 44%
38°C 9%
35°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
33°C or below
$495 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$389 Vol.
1%
35°C
$1,285 Vol.
3%
36°C
$1,935 Vol.
44%
37°C
$2,086 Vol.
48%
38°C
$1,792 Vol.
9%
39°C
$415 Vol.
1%
40°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$461 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$199 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$189 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and regional analyses point to peak afternoon temperatures in Madrid on September 6 reaching 35–36°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, southerly flow, and high pressure, which underpins the near-even market split between 36°C and 37°C.**
These conditions align with an ongoing warm spell across central Spain, where recent days have seen highs in the mid-30s amid dry air and light winds that enhance daytime heating without significant cloud suppression. Historical context shows September 6 averages around 28.7°C with a record of 38.9°C from 2016, but current guidance lacks the extreme setup needed for 38°C or higher. Minor model differences in exact wind shifts or residual moisture could tip the daily maximum by 1°C either way, keeping trader sentiment balanced ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$9,404Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and regional analyses point to peak afternoon temperatures in Madrid on September 6 reaching 35–36°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, southerly flow, and high pressure, which underpins the near-even market split between 36°C and 37°C.**
These conditions align with an ongoing warm spell across central Spain, where recent days have seen highs in the mid-30s amid dry air and light winds that enhance daytime heating without significant cloud suppression. Historical context shows September 6 averages around 28.7°C with a record of 38.9°C from 2016, but current guidance lacks the extreme setup needed for 38°C or higher. Minor model differences in exact wind shifts or residual moisture could tip the daily maximum by 1°C either way, keeping trader sentiment balanced ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,404Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like GFS and regional analyses point to peak afternoon temperatures in Madrid on September 6 reaching 35–36°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, southerly flow, and high pressure, which underpins the near-even market split between 36°C and 37°C.** These conditions align with an ongoing warm spell across central Spain, where recent days have seen highs in the mid-30s amid dry air and light winds that enhance daytime heating without significant cloud suppression. Historical context shows September 6 averages around 28.7°C with a record of 38.9°C from 2016, but current guidance lacks the extreme setup needed for 38°C or higher. Minor model differences in exact wind shifts or residual moisture could tip the daily maximum by 1°C either way, keeping trader sentiment balanced ahead of final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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