Trader consensus in the Lucknow maximum temperature market centers on 31°C as the leading outcome, driven by the India Meteorological Department forecast of a 31°C high for September 6 amid generally cloudy to overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers. Persistent monsoon moisture and high humidity limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping maxima near or slightly below recent observed values around 32°C. Model guidance and historical late-monsoon patterns in the Gangetic plains reinforce this range, with 30–32°C capturing over 95% of market-implied probability. Daily IMD updates and any shifts in rainfall timing represent the key near-term variables that could adjust these odds before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
31°C 50%
30°C 27%
32°C 21%
29°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
27%
31°C
50%
32°C
21%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 50%
30°C 27%
32°C 21%
29°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
$395 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$210 Vol.
1%
28°C
$391 Vol.
2%
29°C
$498 Vol.
5%
30°C
$172 Vol.
27%
31°C
$389 Vol.
50%
32°C
$306 Vol.
21%
33°C
$89 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$196 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Lucknow maximum temperature market centers on 31°C as the leading outcome, driven by the India Meteorological Department forecast of a 31°C high for September 6 amid generally cloudy to overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers. Persistent monsoon moisture and high humidity limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping maxima near or slightly below recent observed values around 32°C. Model guidance and historical late-monsoon patterns in the Gangetic plains reinforce this range, with 30–32°C capturing over 95% of market-implied probability. Daily IMD updates and any shifts in rainfall timing represent the key near-term variables that could adjust these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,091Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Lucknow maximum temperature market centers on 31°C as the leading outcome, driven by the India Meteorological Department forecast of a 31°C high for September 6 amid generally cloudy to overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers. Persistent monsoon moisture and high humidity limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping maxima near or slightly below recent observed values around 32°C. Model guidance and historical late-monsoon patterns in the Gangetic plains reinforce this range, with 30–32°C capturing over 95% of market-implied probability. Daily IMD updates and any shifts in rainfall timing represent the key near-term variables that could adjust these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,091Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Lucknow maximum temperature market centers on 31°C as the leading outcome, driven by the India Meteorological Department forecast of a 31°C high for September 6 amid generally cloudy to overcast skies with spells of rain or thundershowers. Persistent monsoon moisture and high humidity limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping maxima near or slightly below recent observed values around 32°C. Model guidance and historical late-monsoon patterns in the Gangetic plains reinforce this range, with 30–32°C capturing over 95% of market-implied probability. Daily IMD updates and any shifts in rainfall timing represent the key near-term variables that could adjust these odds before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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