Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport station point to a daily maximum of 35°C under partly cloudy conditions with limited thunderstorm activity. This aligns with late-summer climatology where temperatures can exceed the 32.7°C seasonal average high when steering patterns suppress cloud cover and allow greater solar heating. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability reflects high confidence in these inputs ahead of final NOAA resolution. A shift in recorded peak due to localized cooling from unexpected rain, instrument calibration differences, or post-observation revisions remains the primary scenario that could alter the outcome before the market settles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 5?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 5?
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$130,070 Vol.
$130,070 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$130,070 Vol.
$130,070 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
27°C or below
$565 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,662 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,826 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,673 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$9,779 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$10,289 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$14,675 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$16,746 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$33,626 Vol.
100%
36°C
$23,334 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$13,309 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport station point to a daily maximum of 35°C under partly cloudy conditions with limited thunderstorm activity. This aligns with late-summer climatology where temperatures can exceed the 32.7°C seasonal average high when steering patterns suppress cloud cover and allow greater solar heating. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability reflects high confidence in these inputs ahead of final NOAA resolution. A shift in recorded peak due to localized cooling from unexpected rain, instrument calibration differences, or post-observation revisions remains the primary scenario that could alter the outcome before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$130,070Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport station point to a daily maximum of 35°C under partly cloudy conditions with limited thunderstorm activity. This aligns with late-summer climatology where temperatures can exceed the 32.7°C seasonal average high when steering patterns suppress cloud cover and allow greater solar heating. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability reflects high confidence in these inputs ahead of final NOAA resolution. A shift in recorded peak due to localized cooling from unexpected rain, instrument calibration differences, or post-observation revisions remains the primary scenario that could alter the outcome before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$130,070Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport station point to a daily maximum of 35°C under partly cloudy conditions with limited thunderstorm activity. This aligns with late-summer climatology where temperatures can exceed the 32.7°C seasonal average high when steering patterns suppress cloud cover and allow greater solar heating. Trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability reflects high confidence in these inputs ahead of final NOAA resolution. A shift in recorded peak due to localized cooling from unexpected rain, instrument calibration differences, or post-observation revisions remains the primary scenario that could alter the outcome before the market settles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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