Recent northerly winds and building high pressure are driving expectations for a modest cooldown in Ankara on September 7, with official forecasts pointing to a daily maximum near 27–28 °C after warmer conditions the prior weekend. Model consensus from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international guidance shows light northeast breezes limiting daytime heating, clear skies, and dew points in the low teens Celsius that favor efficient radiational cooling overnight but cap afternoon peaks. Traders appear to weigh slight downward revisions in some ensembles against historical September averages near 27 °C, resulting in tight implied probabilities between 25 °C and 26 °C. Updated model runs and morning observations on September 6 will clarify any last adjustments ahead of the official daily high measurement.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on September 7?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 7?
26°C 47%
25°C 40%
27°C 10%
24°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 7, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
40%
26°C
47%
27°C
10%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 47%
25°C 40%
27°C 10%
24°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 7, 2026
21°C or below
$55 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$124 Vol.
1%
23°C
$59 Vol.
1%
24°C
$190 Vol.
5%
25°C
$219 Vol.
40%
26°C
$390 Vol.
47%
27°C
$205 Vol.
10%
28°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$78 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$119 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$119 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly winds and building high pressure are driving expectations for a modest cooldown in Ankara on September 7, with official forecasts pointing to a daily maximum near 27–28 °C after warmer conditions the prior weekend. Model consensus from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international guidance shows light northeast breezes limiting daytime heating, clear skies, and dew points in the low teens Celsius that favor efficient radiational cooling overnight but cap afternoon peaks. Traders appear to weigh slight downward revisions in some ensembles against historical September averages near 27 °C, resulting in tight implied probabilities between 25 °C and 26 °C. Updated model runs and morning observations on September 6 will clarify any last adjustments ahead of the official daily high measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,628Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly winds and building high pressure are driving expectations for a modest cooldown in Ankara on September 7, with official forecasts pointing to a daily maximum near 27–28 °C after warmer conditions the prior weekend. Model consensus from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international guidance shows light northeast breezes limiting daytime heating, clear skies, and dew points in the low teens Celsius that favor efficient radiational cooling overnight but cap afternoon peaks. Traders appear to weigh slight downward revisions in some ensembles against historical September averages near 27 °C, resulting in tight implied probabilities between 25 °C and 26 °C. Updated model runs and morning observations on September 6 will clarify any last adjustments ahead of the official daily high measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,628Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly winds and building high pressure are driving expectations for a modest cooldown in Ankara on September 7, with official forecasts pointing to a daily maximum near 27–28 °C after warmer conditions the prior weekend. Model consensus from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international guidance shows light northeast breezes limiting daytime heating, clear skies, and dew points in the low teens Celsius that favor efficient radiational cooling overnight but cap afternoon peaks. Traders appear to weigh slight downward revisions in some ensembles against historical September averages near 27 °C, resulting in tight implied probabilities between 25 °C and 26 °C. Updated model runs and morning observations on September 6 will clarify any last adjustments ahead of the official daily high measurement.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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