Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources such as the Met Office and BBC indicate a daytime high of 31–32°C in Ankara on August 19 under mostly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds. These conditions position the market-implied odds favoring 31°C (50.5%) and 32°C (40.5%) by aligning closely with ensemble consensus and typical late-August climatology, where average highs reach about 32°C. Minor uncertainty stems from potential variations in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1°C, though updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance before resolution based on official station measurements at Esenboğa Airport.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on August 19?
31°C 50%
32°C 42%
33°C 6%
30°C 5%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
50%
32°C
42%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 50%
32°C 42%
33°C 6%
30°C 5%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
50%
32°C
42%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources such as the Met Office and BBC indicate a daytime high of 31–32°C in Ankara on August 19 under mostly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds. These conditions position the market-implied odds favoring 31°C (50.5%) and 32°C (40.5%) by aligning closely with ensemble consensus and typical late-August climatology, where average highs reach about 32°C. Minor uncertainty stems from potential variations in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing that could shift the peak by 1°C, though updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance before resolution based on official station measurements at Esenboğa Airport.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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