Meteorological agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus position a 30°C daily maximum as the most probable outcome for Ankara on August 18, with light northeasterly winds, high pressure dominance, and clear skies supporting strong daytime insolation while limiting convective cooling. Recent model runs indicate modest stabilization after earlier-week cooling, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on 30°C (68%) over 29°C (22%). Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 29–32°C, providing context for the narrow spread, though boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud development could still shift the peak by 1°C. Updated observations and final verification data expected by evening will resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on August 18?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 18?
30°C 87%
29°C 13%
31°C 2%
32°C <1%
$20,423 Vol.
$20,423 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
13%
30°C
87%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 87%
29°C 13%
31°C 2%
32°C <1%
$20,423 Vol.
$20,423 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
25°C or below
$346 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$579 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$762 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,670 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,920 Vol.
13%
30°C
$4,340 Vol.
87%
31°C
$3,154 Vol.
2%
32°C
$2,277 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$659 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$268 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$446 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus position a 30°C daily maximum as the most probable outcome for Ankara on August 18, with light northeasterly winds, high pressure dominance, and clear skies supporting strong daytime insolation while limiting convective cooling. Recent model runs indicate modest stabilization after earlier-week cooling, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on 30°C (68%) over 29°C (22%). Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 29–32°C, providing context for the narrow spread, though boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud development could still shift the peak by 1°C. Updated observations and final verification data expected by evening will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$20,423Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Meteorological agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus position a 30°C daily maximum as the most probable outcome for Ankara on August 18, with light northeasterly winds, high pressure dominance, and clear skies supporting strong daytime insolation while limiting convective cooling. Recent model runs indicate modest stabilization after earlier-week cooling, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on 30°C (68%) over 29°C (22%). Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 29–32°C, providing context for the narrow spread, though boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud development could still shift the peak by 1°C. Updated observations and final verification data expected by evening will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,423Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Meteorological agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus position a 30°C daily maximum as the most probable outcome for Ankara on August 18, with light northeasterly winds, high pressure dominance, and clear skies supporting strong daytime insolation while limiting convective cooling. Recent model runs indicate modest stabilization after earlier-week cooling, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on 30°C (68%) over 29°C (22%). Historical August climatology shows typical highs of 29–32°C, providing context for the narrow spread, though boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud development could still shift the peak by 1°C. Updated observations and final verification data expected by evening will resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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