**Forecast models for Milan on August 18, 2026, show daytime highs centered near 31–33 °C, producing nearly even market-implied odds between 31 °C and 32 °C.** Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and BBC Weather points to maxima of 33–34 °C under mostly sunny conditions, while other runs and local observations suggest the peak may stay at or just below 32 °C because of variable cloud cover, light easterly winds, and the timing of maximum solar heating in an urban setting. Key differentiating factors include the strength of warm-air advection from the south, the degree of afternoon mixing that could limit surface temperatures, and Milan’s urban heat-island effect, which typically adds 1–2 °C to readings at official stations. With the market split so tightly, traders are weighing the latest high-resolution model runs and any last-minute shifts in insolation or boundary-layer moisture that could tip the daily maximum by a single degree.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on August 18?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 18?
31°C 45%
32°C 42%
33°C 9%
30°C 6.5%
BARU
$37,571 Vol.
BARU
$37,571 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
29°C or below
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
45%
32°C
42%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
31°C 45%
32°C 42%
33°C 9%
30°C 6.5%
BARU
$37,571 Vol.
BARU
$37,571 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
29°C or below
$2,993 Vol.
2%
30°C
$3,599 Vol.
6%
31°C
$5,503 Vol.
45%
32°C
$7,968 Vol.
42%
33°C
$5,642 Vol.
9%
34°C
$3,061 Vol.
2%
35°C
$7,168 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$478 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$486 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$267 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$404 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Milan on August 18, 2026, show daytime highs centered near 31–33 °C, producing nearly even market-implied odds between 31 °C and 32 °C.** Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and BBC Weather points to maxima of 33–34 °C under mostly sunny conditions, while other runs and local observations suggest the peak may stay at or just below 32 °C because of variable cloud cover, light easterly winds, and the timing of maximum solar heating in an urban setting.
Key differentiating factors include the strength of warm-air advection from the south, the degree of afternoon mixing that could limit surface temperatures, and Milan’s urban heat-island effect, which typically adds 1–2 °C to readings at official stations. With the market split so tightly, traders are weighing the latest high-resolution model runs and any last-minute shifts in insolation or boundary-layer moisture that could tip the daily maximum by a single degree.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$37,571Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Milan on August 18, 2026, show daytime highs centered near 31–33 °C, producing nearly even market-implied odds between 31 °C and 32 °C.** Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and BBC Weather points to maxima of 33–34 °C under mostly sunny conditions, while other runs and local observations suggest the peak may stay at or just below 32 °C because of variable cloud cover, light easterly winds, and the timing of maximum solar heating in an urban setting.
Key differentiating factors include the strength of warm-air advection from the south, the degree of afternoon mixing that could limit surface temperatures, and Milan’s urban heat-island effect, which typically adds 1–2 °C to readings at official stations. With the market split so tightly, traders are weighing the latest high-resolution model runs and any last-minute shifts in insolation or boundary-layer moisture that could tip the daily maximum by a single degree.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,571Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Milan on August 18, 2026, show daytime highs centered near 31–33 °C, producing nearly even market-implied odds between 31 °C and 32 °C.** Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and BBC Weather points to maxima of 33–34 °C under mostly sunny conditions, while other runs and local observations suggest the peak may stay at or just below 32 °C because of variable cloud cover, light easterly winds, and the timing of maximum solar heating in an urban setting. Key differentiating factors include the strength of warm-air advection from the south, the degree of afternoon mixing that could limit surface temperatures, and Milan’s urban heat-island effect, which typically adds 1–2 °C to readings at official stations. With the market split so tightly, traders are weighing the latest high-resolution model runs and any last-minute shifts in insolation or boundary-layer moisture that could tip the daily maximum by a single degree.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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