Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models converge on a Milan high of 32–33°C for August 19 under a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy, with the Po Valley’s urban heat island and moderate humidity supporting peak readings near the surface. This consensus underpins market-implied odds favoring the 32–33°C outcomes, while subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud timing, and any late-day instability introduce modest downside risk. Historical August maxima near 30°C provide climatological context, and traders are watching for updated model runs or official observations that could shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on August 19?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 19?
33°C 51%
32°C 35%
34°C 7%
31°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
30°C or below
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
35%
33°C
51%
34°C
7%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 51%
32°C 35%
34°C 7%
31°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
30°C or below
$424 Vol.
2%
31°C
$904 Vol.
6%
32°C
$639 Vol.
35%
33°C
$2,591 Vol.
51%
34°C
$407 Vol.
7%
35°C
$260 Vol.
2%
36°C
$341 Vol.
1%
37°C
$209 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$197 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$286 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$286 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models converge on a Milan high of 32–33°C for August 19 under a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy, with the Po Valley’s urban heat island and moderate humidity supporting peak readings near the surface. This consensus underpins market-implied odds favoring the 32–33°C outcomes, while subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud timing, and any late-day instability introduce modest downside risk. Historical August maxima near 30°C provide climatological context, and traders are watching for updated model runs or official observations that could shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,544Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models converge on a Milan high of 32–33°C for August 19 under a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy, with the Po Valley’s urban heat island and moderate humidity supporting peak readings near the surface. This consensus underpins market-implied odds favoring the 32–33°C outcomes, while subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud timing, and any late-day instability introduce modest downside risk. Historical August maxima near 30°C provide climatological context, and traders are watching for updated model runs or official observations that could shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,544Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models converge on a Milan high of 32–33°C for August 19 under a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy, with the Po Valley’s urban heat island and moderate humidity supporting peak readings near the surface. This consensus underpins market-implied odds favoring the 32–33°C outcomes, while subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud timing, and any late-day instability introduce modest downside risk. Historical August maxima near 30°C provide climatological context, and traders are watching for updated model runs or official observations that could shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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